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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 15 February 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX CONTINUALLY DIPPED IN RED
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index continues its decline and fell 5.18 pct to 530 points week on week due to falling commodity prices and declining ...
Saturday, 14 February 15
SHALE GAS AND TIGHT OIL ARE COMMERCIALLY PRODUCED IN JUST FOUR COUNTRIES - EIA
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The United States, Canada, China, and Argentina are currently the only four countries in the world that are producing com ...
Friday, 13 February 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SHOWS 10% DECLINE
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 13 February 15
SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED SHIP OWNERS SQUEEZED OUT OF THE MARKET ON CRASHING DRY BULK MARKET AND EUROZONE CRISIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Financing issues have started to tighten the noose in the throats of small and medium-size ship owners, who were already facing problems over the p ...
Thursday, 12 February 15
CAPESIZE: THE BEST DESCRIPTION FOR THE MARKET IS, FLAT - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The handy and supra market is also being affected by the marginal volume of activity in the commodity sales. We see a small upturn in the T ...
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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