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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 19 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q4 DELIVERY CLOSED 4% LOWER THAN Q1 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has f ...
Sunday, 18 January 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was up 4.51 pct week on week on Friday 16, January 2015. The BDI closed at 741 points on this Friday after gaining arou ...
Friday, 16 January 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 7.3% W-O-W
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 15 January 15
PANAMAX : MARKET CONTINUE ON LOW PACE - FEARNLEYS
Handy
On a general basis we can say that rates are softening in both hemispheres. Although for some specific trades we can see premiums being ach ...
Thursday, 15 January 15
LOW CASH COSTS, GOOD LIQUIDITY HELP ASIAN OIL COMPANIES IN PRICE ROUT - FITCH
Fitch Ratings says that rated oil and gas production companies in Asia can comfortably operate under low oil prices for some time given their gener ...
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- White Energy Company Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Coal Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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