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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 13 January 15
Q2 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP DECLINED 8.66% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined by US$ 3.48 (-5.73%) month over month and US$ 2.35 (-3.94%) week ...
Tuesday, 13 January 15
Q1' 2015 RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN Q2 & Q4 2015 SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 7.21 ...
Monday, 12 January 15
COAL: LOW PRICES ARE EXPECTED TO DRIVE A SUPPLY-DRIVEN RECOVERY IN THE MEDIUM TERM - SGX
COALspot.com: Thermal coal prices dropped to six-year lows in 2014 driven by persistent oversupply, SGX says in its “ Commodities 2014 - A ye ...
Monday, 12 January 15
FREIGHT MARKET: 2015 FLEET SUPPLY GROWTH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF CARGO GROWTH - SGX
COALspot.com: The dry bulk freight market was forced to digest a number of negatives in 2014 leading the Baltic Dry Index to fall 66% through the y ...
Monday, 12 January 15
SHIPPING - CHALLENGES AND RESOLUTIONS - EVA TZIMA
Last year has without a doubt been another challenging one both for both our industry and our country. As Greece is currently dominated by election ...
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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