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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 13 January 15
Q2 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP DECLINED 8.66% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined by US$ 3.48 (-5.73%) month over month and US$ 2.35 (-3.94%) week ...
Tuesday, 13 January 15
Q1' 2015 RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN Q2 & Q4 2015 SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 7.21 ...
Monday, 12 January 15
COAL: LOW PRICES ARE EXPECTED TO DRIVE A SUPPLY-DRIVEN RECOVERY IN THE MEDIUM TERM - SGX
COALspot.com: Thermal coal prices dropped to six-year lows in 2014 driven by persistent oversupply, SGX says in its “ Commodities 2014 - A ye ...
Monday, 12 January 15
FREIGHT MARKET: 2015 FLEET SUPPLY GROWTH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF CARGO GROWTH - SGX
COALspot.com: The dry bulk freight market was forced to digest a number of negatives in 2014 leading the Baltic Dry Index to fall 66% through the y ...
Monday, 12 January 15
SHIPPING - CHALLENGES AND RESOLUTIONS - EVA TZIMA
Last year has without a doubt been another challenging one both for both our industry and our country. As Greece is currently dominated by election ...
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The University of Queensland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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