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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 20 January 15
INDIA TO SURPASS THE UNITED STATES AND BECOME THE SECOND-LARGEST COAL CONSUMER IN THE WORLD BY 2019 - IMF
COALspot.com: In 2013, coal added more primary energy than any other fuel and was the fastest-growing fossil fuel, enhancing its position as the se ...
Tuesday, 20 January 15
INDONESIAN COAL OUTPUT SEEN RISING, DESPITE FALL IN ITS PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month on month and week over week, but Indonesian Coal Output Seen Rising. T ...
Tuesday, 20 January 15
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY DECLINED 2.83% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.45 per MT (-2.83%) month over month and US$ 0.50 (-0.99%) we ...
Monday, 19 January 15
HBA FALL TO FRESH LOWS; COAL OVERSUPPLY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH PRICE DOWN
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal bench mark price this month to US$ 63.84. T ...
Monday, 19 January 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS REMAIN WEAK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.37 (-5.63%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.74 (-1.29%) ...
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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