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Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing the market is at significantly lower level compared to the previous last done. In this respect, some Owners are accepting these new discounted levels, ac-cepting the new asset level reality, whereas others prefer to withdraw their ships or chose to wait, hoping to find more eager Buyers who can pay their aiming levels.
For the modern dry bulker tonnages, Owners are still holding back and are insisting on asking prices, which in some cases are more in sync with the levels of the market six months ago. Most of them, however, are trying to fix the ships in small period contracts that will help them sit through the bad market in the next few months, hoping that by the end of the contracts they will face a better market. Some unrealistically priced sale candidates, which still remain in the market, have created a small increase in the supply of tonnage for sale which does not help the more serious Sellers to get a good or at least a decent price for their vessels.
Demolition prices are softening every week and the period of time where the prices were around 480-500 usd/ldt for bulkers is well behind us. Today, we can see Owners receiving figures at around 420-430 usd/ldt basis deliv-ery in Bangladesh or West coast of India. Many people in this industry are pessimistic and they don’t expect any increase in demo prices in the near future, with some expecting average demo bids to fall below the 400 usd/ldt mark sooner rather than later. The iron ore and steel price remain on a downward slope, while the continuous imports of cheap Chinese scrap steel is still the main hurdle faced by demo breakers in the Indian subcontinent.
The softening of the demo market, has had a big impact on the selling prices of the early/mid 90s built dry bulk carriers since their value calculation is usually based on the demo price plus a premium. This is most notable on Panamax and Handymax dry bulk tonnage, which have lost significant value during the past months and all this doesn’t seem to be changing soon, as the vessels on the market are too many and the majority of the Buyers are based in China, who is well accustomed in being patient in order to get something cheap.
Chinese Buyers already seem to be attracted by the present lows of the mar-ket and there is definitely some warming up of activity here. However, as everybody has a feeling that prices will most probably keep dropping, as a result of the continuously softening demo prices, most potential Buyers chose to wait a little further before they invest in second-hand tonnage. The logic behind this is that instead of acquiring now a low-mid 90’s blt ship, there might be an opportunity in the very near future to purchase, at a simi-lar value, a late 90’s blt tonnage.
Hopefully, these bad market conditions will come to an end soon. If this situation persists for long enough though, everybody involved in the indus-try will start facing problems. On the other hand, this hasn’t had a significant effect on Tanker Owners who are trading in a significantly improved freight market, ever since oil prices dropped and demand of oil increased. But whether this perfect storm will continue to favor the tanker market is the million dollar question here.
By Intermodal Shanghai office, SnP Team
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 10 December 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS, INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: As 2014 is coming to an end, we look back to what has happened during the year and notice that SnP activity has been particularly sof ...
Wednesday, 10 December 14
WORLD HARD COAL MARKET 2014: PRODUCTION AND TRADE STAGNATING, IMPORTS TO GERMANY AND EUROPE ON THE DECLINE
Press Release: German Coal Importers Association (VDKi) criticizes regulations ordering reduction of CO2 emissions from coal-fired power plants as ...
Tuesday, 09 December 14
PRESSURE ON CHINA COAL MINERS TO CONTINUE DESPITE GOVERNMENT SUPPORT - FITCH
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that Chinese coal mining companies will continue to be pressured by low prices, which will persist despite recent ...
Tuesday, 09 December 14
Q4' 2015, FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 49.02 W/E 5 DEC
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.2 ...
Tuesday, 09 December 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FELL 1.8% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 1.84 (-2.91%) month over month and US$ 0.95 (-1.52%) we ...
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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