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Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing the market is at significantly lower level compared to the previous last done. In this respect, some Owners are accepting these new discounted levels, ac-cepting the new asset level reality, whereas others prefer to withdraw their ships or chose to wait, hoping to find more eager Buyers who can pay their aiming levels.
For the modern dry bulker tonnages, Owners are still holding back and are insisting on asking prices, which in some cases are more in sync with the levels of the market six months ago. Most of them, however, are trying to fix the ships in small period contracts that will help them sit through the bad market in the next few months, hoping that by the end of the contracts they will face a better market. Some unrealistically priced sale candidates, which still remain in the market, have created a small increase in the supply of tonnage for sale which does not help the more serious Sellers to get a good or at least a decent price for their vessels.
Demolition prices are softening every week and the period of time where the prices were around 480-500 usd/ldt for bulkers is well behind us. Today, we can see Owners receiving figures at around 420-430 usd/ldt basis deliv-ery in Bangladesh or West coast of India. Many people in this industry are pessimistic and they don’t expect any increase in demo prices in the near future, with some expecting average demo bids to fall below the 400 usd/ldt mark sooner rather than later. The iron ore and steel price remain on a downward slope, while the continuous imports of cheap Chinese scrap steel is still the main hurdle faced by demo breakers in the Indian subcontinent.
The softening of the demo market, has had a big impact on the selling prices of the early/mid 90s built dry bulk carriers since their value calculation is usually based on the demo price plus a premium. This is most notable on Panamax and Handymax dry bulk tonnage, which have lost significant value during the past months and all this doesn’t seem to be changing soon, as the vessels on the market are too many and the majority of the Buyers are based in China, who is well accustomed in being patient in order to get something cheap.
Chinese Buyers already seem to be attracted by the present lows of the mar-ket and there is definitely some warming up of activity here. However, as everybody has a feeling that prices will most probably keep dropping, as a result of the continuously softening demo prices, most potential Buyers chose to wait a little further before they invest in second-hand tonnage. The logic behind this is that instead of acquiring now a low-mid 90’s blt ship, there might be an opportunity in the very near future to purchase, at a simi-lar value, a late 90’s blt tonnage.
Hopefully, these bad market conditions will come to an end soon. If this situation persists for long enough though, everybody involved in the indus-try will start facing problems. On the other hand, this hasn’t had a significant effect on Tanker Owners who are trading in a significantly improved freight market, ever since oil prices dropped and demand of oil increased. But whether this perfect storm will continue to favor the tanker market is the million dollar question here.
By Intermodal Shanghai office, SnP Team
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 15 December 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP LOST $3.37 M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 3,37 (-5.33%) month over month and US$ 1.58 (-2.57%) ...
Monday, 15 December 14
Q1' 15 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 51.45 ON 12 DEC
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.45 per MT (-2.74%) closed at US$ 51.45 on 12 December month over ...
Sunday, 14 December 14
FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), a measure of commodity-shipping costs, fell 12.12 pct to 863 points week ending 12 December 2014.
Th ...
Friday, 12 December 14
LIMITED TRADING AND AN OVERSUPPLY OF TONNAGE PUSHED HANDY SIZE SHIPS TO DOWN IN USG
Handy
We have seen the TA spot market come down this week lead by limited trading and an oversupply of tonnage in the USG, Fearnleys said in its ...
Friday, 12 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 3.4% W/E DECEMBER 6
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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