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Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing the market is at significantly lower level compared to the previous last done. In this respect, some Owners are accepting these new discounted levels, ac-cepting the new asset level reality, whereas others prefer to withdraw their ships or chose to wait, hoping to find more eager Buyers who can pay their aiming levels.
For the modern dry bulker tonnages, Owners are still holding back and are insisting on asking prices, which in some cases are more in sync with the levels of the market six months ago. Most of them, however, are trying to fix the ships in small period contracts that will help them sit through the bad market in the next few months, hoping that by the end of the contracts they will face a better market. Some unrealistically priced sale candidates, which still remain in the market, have created a small increase in the supply of tonnage for sale which does not help the more serious Sellers to get a good or at least a decent price for their vessels.
Demolition prices are softening every week and the period of time where the prices were around 480-500 usd/ldt for bulkers is well behind us. Today, we can see Owners receiving figures at around 420-430 usd/ldt basis deliv-ery in Bangladesh or West coast of India. Many people in this industry are pessimistic and they don’t expect any increase in demo prices in the near future, with some expecting average demo bids to fall below the 400 usd/ldt mark sooner rather than later. The iron ore and steel price remain on a downward slope, while the continuous imports of cheap Chinese scrap steel is still the main hurdle faced by demo breakers in the Indian subcontinent.
The softening of the demo market, has had a big impact on the selling prices of the early/mid 90s built dry bulk carriers since their value calculation is usually based on the demo price plus a premium. This is most notable on Panamax and Handymax dry bulk tonnage, which have lost significant value during the past months and all this doesn’t seem to be changing soon, as the vessels on the market are too many and the majority of the Buyers are based in China, who is well accustomed in being patient in order to get something cheap.
Chinese Buyers already seem to be attracted by the present lows of the mar-ket and there is definitely some warming up of activity here. However, as everybody has a feeling that prices will most probably keep dropping, as a result of the continuously softening demo prices, most potential Buyers chose to wait a little further before they invest in second-hand tonnage. The logic behind this is that instead of acquiring now a low-mid 90’s blt ship, there might be an opportunity in the very near future to purchase, at a simi-lar value, a late 90’s blt tonnage.
Hopefully, these bad market conditions will come to an end soon. If this situation persists for long enough though, everybody involved in the indus-try will start facing problems. On the other hand, this hasn’t had a significant effect on Tanker Owners who are trading in a significantly improved freight market, ever since oil prices dropped and demand of oil increased. But whether this perfect storm will continue to favor the tanker market is the million dollar question here.
By Intermodal Shanghai office, SnP Team
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 16 December 14
THIS PRICE IS A STEAL - EVA TZIMA
COALspot.com: Despite concerns that the slowdown of the Chinese economy would affect imports of iron ore, it seems that this has not been the case ...
Tuesday, 16 December 14
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q2' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 65.60 PMT
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.18 (-0.27%) month on month ...
Tuesday, 16 December 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CONTINUES ITS FALL
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 1.7 ...
Monday, 15 December 14
WILL TANKERS BENEFIT FROM REEMERGENCE OF FLOATING STORAGE PLAYS? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The tanker market has been seeing high freight rates for some time now, riding on the back of low oil prices, which are boosting demand from develo ...
Monday, 15 December 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE CRASHES THROUGH $65
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in December. HBA for t ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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