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Wednesday, 03 December 14
CAPESIZE DRY BULK CARRIERS ENTER 2015 WITH MIXED FORTUNES, WITH A POSITIVE AND A NEGATIVE SCENARIO BOTH EMERGING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The future of the Capesize dry bulk market appears to be engulfed from mixed “feelings” among analysts and market participants, despite the fact of the relatively positive performance of late. The “pessimists”, as described by shipbroker Allied Shipbroking’s latest weekly report, are negative regarding the future prospects of the Capesize market, at least during the first half of 2015, while things are not looking much better for 2015 as a whole. According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, the arguments expressed claim that “with the steel industry being considerably shaken up after the softer results witnessed out of China throughout the year, the market has found itself once again plagued by overcapacity in terms of vessels and excess supply of steel products, possibly marking a further slowdown in steel production growth. Having now en-ered the final month of 2014 and with rates in the final quarter of the year having grossly disappointed the expectations that had accrued from the more promising final quarter of 2013, the market has now been left in shatters in terms of market sentiment, while the headache of the excessive order book continues to loom in the horizon”.
By contrast, those who voice more optimistic views, say that things could very well be better. According to them, “iron ore trade and in particular seaborne trade, has been mainly driven by Chinese demand for almost a dec-ade now and while demand for steel production may well be faltering, it doesn’t not look like we will see an outright reduction in demand for this vital commodity. At the same time, with prices of the ore having dropped to consecutively record 5 year lows over the past months, it has been Chinese internal iron ore production that has been most at threat. Both Australia and Brazil have considerably lower breakeven levels and can sustain their production at price levels considerably lower than their Chinese counterparts. This means that as the price drops further it will likely be seaborne imports that will have most to gain boosting their demand and as such their volumes”, Lazaridis noted.
He added that according to the optimists of the dry bulk market, “the considerable iron ore inventories that have amassed in most major Chinese ports are likely to be consumed fairly quickly by the ramped up Chinese steel produc-tion and at the same time the average levels of port inventories will have to be raised in order to better secure against any disruptions in production as they will be more reliant on imports moving forward”.
As a results, Allied’s analyst wonders which will be the case out of the above different scenarios. According to him, “there may well be an increasing rise for iron ore imports, however Australia has championed as main supplier to China for many years and as things are looking now, they have been gaining further ground during 2014, moving from a 51% market share in 2013 up to roughly a 58% market share now. This means that as their mines ramp up production and gain ground in the market they will likely eat up some of the further away competition as well, countering some of the positive effects of the higher reliance of China on imports, as Aussie ore also takes up volume from longer haul sources as well”.
According to the shipbroker’s view on the 2015 dry bulk market, “as things stand now it looks as a reasonable scenario for Chinese iron ore imports to rise by around 10-15% on a year-on-year ba-sis, while to put this number in perspective the respective number for 2014 looks close to around 16%. Having said that, this rise in imports is possibly going to translate into a more marginal 5% demand growth and even this figure seems to be optimistic. At the same time the schedule of newbuilding deliveries is quite well packed with over 139 vessels currently set to hit the water within 2015, while the lower bunker prices might add another headache as fuel consumption becomes less of an issue and many charter-ers start to push for higher speeds and in turn further increase the total annual carrying capacity of the Capesize fleet”, he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Saturday, 03 January 15
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION FELL 11.2% TO 17.6 MMST WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 01 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS CLOSED AT $63.47 PMT ON 26 DEC, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 3.37 (-4. ...
Wednesday, 31 December 14
COASTAL ENERGEN (C&O) COMMENCES 1ST UNIT OF 1200 MW POWER PLANT IN INDIA
COALspot.com: Coastal Energen, part of the Coal & Oil Group, announced last week the commissioning and commencement of power production at the ...
Wednesday, 31 December 14
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL Q2' 15 DELIVERY SWAP CLOSED 1.03% LOWER COMPARED TO AVERAGE Q1' 15 DELIVERY PRICE - SGX
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and gained week over week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 1.35 (-2 ...
Tuesday, 30 December 14
SHIP PRICES KEEP ON FALLING, SALES COME EARLY FOR SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Ship prices keep on falling on the back of low freight rates. According to the latest report from shipbroker Allied Shipbroking, January sales seem ...
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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