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Thursday, 20 November 14
MOST MAJOR ASIAN ECONOMIES TO BENEFIT FROM LOWER OIL - FITCH
COALspot.com: The 25% drop in the price of oil since July is likely to lift economic growth prospects, improve terms of trade, and have a potentially positive credit impact for a number of Asia-Pacific sovereigns if the lower prices are sustained below USD90/bbl through 2015, in line with our latest forecast, says Fitch Ratings.
Most major Asian economies - including China, Japan, Korea and Thailand - would see an effective overall income boost from sustained lower oil prices. In addition, countries with large oil import needs facing external adjustment pressures such as Indonesia and India are among the best positioned to see a positive impact on sovereign credit profiles, although the broader policy response will matter too.
All but one of the Fitch-rated APAC sovereigns are net oil importers. Net oil import bills range significantly, from greater than 10% of GDP for Thailand to less than 2% for Bangladesh and Vietnam. Korea, Japan and China have net import bills of 6%, 3% and just over 2% of GDP, respectively.
For consumers, there would be a positive consumption effect from falling retail energy prices. Disinflation as a result of lower oil prices could also contribute to GDP growth less directly in some countries, by facilitating a more accommodative monetary policy than would otherwise be followed. Notably, several key Asian economies, including Japan, have been increasingly relying on liquefied natural gas (LNG) as part of their energy mix, and Asian LNG prices are linked to Brent crude.
A combined positive impact on fiscal accounts, economic growth and terms of trade, would be particularly beneficial for the sovereign credits of countries which are both net oil importers and facing external adjustment pressures, including Indonesia and India. Lower oil prices will help to ease the trade-offs faced by these economies as they aim to bolster growth while reducing external account deficits.
Beyond the macroeconomic growth effects, the fiscal impact could also be significant for several south and south-east Asian sovereigns. Both the Indian and Indonesian governments have already taken advantage of the price decline. In India, diesel prices were deregulated on 18 October. The direct impact on our headline fiscal forecasts is expected to be limited, while this will make the fiscal accounts more robust against future oil shocks, since both diesel and petrol prices are now determined by the market.
In Indonesia, the new administration under President Joko Widodo raised the administered price of fuel by over 30% on 18 November. Roughly 15% of total government spending (2.4% of GDP) is allocated to fuel subsidies, according to the state budget. In addition to direct effects on the state budget, the price hike provides a clear, positive signal of the new government's intentions to swiftly implement its reform agenda.
However, the extent to which sovereigns are able to realise the potential fiscal benefits will be determined at least partly by how policy makers respond - whether they use budget windfalls to increase spending or reduce deficits.
Fitch has lowered its forecast for the price of Brent Crude to average USD87/bbl through 2015 and USD90/bbl for 2016 as part of our latest forecasting round, down from our September forecasts of USD100/bbl and USD95/bbl, respectively.
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Tuesday, 25 November 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q2' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $ 49.55
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, gained week on week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.12 (-0.24%) ...
Monday, 24 November 14
CHOPPY WATERS IN DRY BULK - SGX
COALspot.com: Dry bulk freight rates have experienced a sharp rise in volatility in recent weeks as bulk commodity supply has ramped up, said SGX i ...
Monday, 24 November 14
Q1 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.73
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.73 on 21 November after losing US$ 0.40 (-0.75%) month ove ...
Monday, 24 November 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL: Q2' 15 COAL SWAPS CLOSED LOWER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 0.63 (-0.99%) month over month and US$ 0.12 (-0.19%) da ...
Sunday, 23 November 14
SPOT FREIGHT RATES IMPROVED SLIGHTLY OVER PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was up 5.41 pct week on week and closed at 1,324 points on Friday. All the segments were up this week except Panamax index.&n ...
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Showing 3351 to 3355 news of total 6871 |
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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