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Thursday, 20 November 14
MOST MAJOR ASIAN ECONOMIES TO BENEFIT FROM LOWER OIL - FITCH
COALspot.com: The 25% drop in the price of oil since July is likely to lift economic growth prospects, improve terms of trade, and have a potentially positive credit impact for a number of Asia-Pacific sovereigns if the lower prices are sustained below USD90/bbl through 2015, in line with our latest forecast, says Fitch Ratings.
Most major Asian economies - including China, Japan, Korea and Thailand - would see an effective overall income boost from sustained lower oil prices. In addition, countries with large oil import needs facing external adjustment pressures such as Indonesia and India are among the best positioned to see a positive impact on sovereign credit profiles, although the broader policy response will matter too.
All but one of the Fitch-rated APAC sovereigns are net oil importers. Net oil import bills range significantly, from greater than 10% of GDP for Thailand to less than 2% for Bangladesh and Vietnam. Korea, Japan and China have net import bills of 6%, 3% and just over 2% of GDP, respectively.
For consumers, there would be a positive consumption effect from falling retail energy prices. Disinflation as a result of lower oil prices could also contribute to GDP growth less directly in some countries, by facilitating a more accommodative monetary policy than would otherwise be followed. Notably, several key Asian economies, including Japan, have been increasingly relying on liquefied natural gas (LNG) as part of their energy mix, and Asian LNG prices are linked to Brent crude.
A combined positive impact on fiscal accounts, economic growth and terms of trade, would be particularly beneficial for the sovereign credits of countries which are both net oil importers and facing external adjustment pressures, including Indonesia and India. Lower oil prices will help to ease the trade-offs faced by these economies as they aim to bolster growth while reducing external account deficits.
Beyond the macroeconomic growth effects, the fiscal impact could also be significant for several south and south-east Asian sovereigns. Both the Indian and Indonesian governments have already taken advantage of the price decline. In India, diesel prices were deregulated on 18 October. The direct impact on our headline fiscal forecasts is expected to be limited, while this will make the fiscal accounts more robust against future oil shocks, since both diesel and petrol prices are now determined by the market.
In Indonesia, the new administration under President Joko Widodo raised the administered price of fuel by over 30% on 18 November. Roughly 15% of total government spending (2.4% of GDP) is allocated to fuel subsidies, according to the state budget. In addition to direct effects on the state budget, the price hike provides a clear, positive signal of the new government's intentions to swiftly implement its reform agenda.
However, the extent to which sovereigns are able to realise the potential fiscal benefits will be determined at least partly by how policy makers respond - whether they use budget windfalls to increase spending or reduce deficits.
Fitch has lowered its forecast for the price of Brent Crude to average USD87/bbl through 2015 and USD90/bbl for 2016 as part of our latest forecasting round, down from our September forecasts of USD100/bbl and USD95/bbl, respectively.
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Tuesday, 25 November 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q2' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $ 49.55
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, gained week on week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.12 (-0.24%) ...
Monday, 24 November 14
CHOPPY WATERS IN DRY BULK - SGX
COALspot.com: Dry bulk freight rates have experienced a sharp rise in volatility in recent weeks as bulk commodity supply has ramped up, said SGX i ...
Monday, 24 November 14
Q1 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.73
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.73 on 21 November after losing US$ 0.40 (-0.75%) month ove ...
Monday, 24 November 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL: Q2' 15 COAL SWAPS CLOSED LOWER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 0.63 (-0.99%) month over month and US$ 0.12 (-0.19%) da ...
Sunday, 23 November 14
SPOT FREIGHT RATES IMPROVED SLIGHTLY OVER PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was up 5.41 pct week on week and closed at 1,324 points on Friday. All the segments were up this week except Panamax index.&n ...
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Showing 3351 to 3355 news of total 6871 |
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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