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Thursday, 16 October 14
ARE WE GOING TO SHOOT OURSELVES IN THE FOOT ONCE AGAIN? - PANOS MAKRINOS
As the East part of our globe was coming back from its October holidays last week, everyone expected that the Dry Bulk market would follow suit and maybe come out of its lethargy. Instead, the BDI moved below the 1,000 unit mark, a level which has been the psychological market barrier for the past couple of years, and started drawing up a completely different picture for dry bulkers compared to the one we see on the wet side and more specifically the crude sector, said Panos Makrinos, SnP Broker of Intermodal.
The broker further said, dry bulk asset prices keep dropping, expectations look dimmer by the day and new building prices are probably the only indicator in the sector still displaying some sort of resistance refusing to adjust accordingly to this new reality. In addition to the current order book, Vale seems to have finally cracked the "code" for entering its gigantic ships to the Chinese shores and the fate of coal exports to China are currently a big question mark following the new standards set by the government there. Optimism for a stronger Q4 has given its way to panic about next year's outlook and in many cases it feels like we are once again being overrun by sentiment. What's there to look forward to?
According to Intermodal, sale and purchase activity has been at healthy levels and -despite the large number of candidates- the market has remained highly liquid with a wide range of buyers for all sizes and age groups. Demo prices are very strong and activity is finally picking up to reflect the rising need for tonnage exiting the market. Prices for prompt re-sales are in par with new building prices after a long time and vessels being delivered now have little or zero differences from the designs that yards are marketing for construction. These facts along with the rising finance gap that has been widening throughout the year as private equity started to distance itself from shipping should provide enough disincentives for new orders going forward. Isn’t this the perfect storm that counter-cyclical investors are looking for?
Commenting on tankers, Intermodal said, on the other side of the fence, tankers are displaying a much rosier picture. The M/T Ariadni (166,000dwt - blt 2009) is being reported sold for a very solid USD 56.5m and analysts are becoming increasingly optimistic about the outlook of the crude market, commenting on the low order book and rising demand for higher ton-mile cargo movements. Sale and purchase activity is steadily rising and asset values across all sizes are beating last done values every time. The New building market is also experiencing this euphoria with prices picking up at least 5% within weeks, completing an image very different to the one during the first quarter of the year.
What has changed? Are we going to shoot ourselves in the foot once again? Hopefully market pundits will understand that this long-awaited improvement has been achieved due to the entire sector patiently and painfully working towards a healthier equilibrium and we will avoid making the “recent” mistakes of other sectors...
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 16 October 14
PANAMAX OWNERS RECEIVE A PREMIUM FOR GOING TO INDIA VIA INDONESIA - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Handy/Supra market continues to slide in both hemispheres, said Fearnleys AS in its latest week report. In the Atlantic we see rates co ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
PANAMAX: ACTIVITY IN THE PACIFIC WAS UNIMPRESSIVE
The Dry Bulk market noted another weekly decline last week, while the BDI moved below 1,000 points taking down with it expectations that a post hol ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FELL TO FRESH MULTI-YEAR LOWS IN OCTOBER
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in October 2014.
...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
DRY BULK SHIPPING: RATE IMPROVEMENTS ARRIVED AS FORECAST, BUT UNCERTAINTY MOUNTS FOR 2015 DEMAND - BIMCO
BIMCO released its latest short term assessment of the dry bulk market, estimating that over the October-November period, the level of Capesize TC ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
SHIPOWNER NOT LIABLE FOR CARGO DAMAGE RESULTING FROM POOR STOWAGE - CLYDE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Russian metal trading company Yuzhny Zavod Metall Profil (YZMP), the holder of a CONGEN 1994 bill of lading, took delivery o ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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