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Wednesday, 20 August 14
DRY BULK MARKET TO REBOUND IN THE FOURTH QUARTER, OR NOT....- NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The projected rebound of the dry bulk market is still an elusive trend and shipbrokers and analysts are looking to identify the timing of the looming rally. According to the latest monthly report from shipbroker Intermodal, “it has without a doubt been “a cruel, cruel summer” for the dry bulk market so far and with second hand values still standing high com-pared to last year, the anticipation for the freight market to recover, feels a bit more intense than usual. So what could Q4 be holding for dry bulkers? Are we in for a similar end of year surge like the one witnessed last year”, wondered Eva Tzima, Research Analyst with Intermodal.
According to the analyst, “in the case of the Capesize segment, all eyes are currently turned on China and the iron ore trade. In the beginning of the month, stock-piles at the country’s ports stood at record high levels. Although high levels of iron ore inventory usually reflect that strong steel production is anticipated, it doesn’t look like this is the case here. While steel production levels have been kept high throughout the first half of 2014, profits for the steelmaking industry have been sluggish. This most likely means that production remained at high levels through-out the year due to the Chinese government’s efforts to sustain growth with direct investments in the industry and in anticipation of greater future demand, a demand which has yet to be witnessed”.
Tzima added that “the continuously declining price of the commodity, which in June reached its lowest level since September 2012 has also sustained port inventories at high levels, despite the fact that end demand wasn’t keeping up pace. If we look back in the summer of 2013 things were dramatically different, with port inventories standing well below the historical average, at around 70 million tonnes, compared to 113.65 million tonnes a few weeks ago. Since the restocking started in September of 2013, inventory levels have been on an upward trend, currently leaving little space for aggressive imports and even less room for Cape rates to thrive in the same way they did during the last quarter of last year.
Moving on to the smaller size segments, the upcoming grain season is what the market is currently focusing on and it looks like grains might come to the rescue this year as well. Europe has been witnessing excessive rainfall lately and as a result, the harvest, in France, Germany and other traditional grain producers, is being delayed and its quality jeopardized” she noted.
According to Intermodal’s analyst, “this means that the EU will have to intensify its imports and consequently help seaborne trade volumes, with business in the Black Sea being the first beneficiary in line. In fact, Russia is currently exporting wheat at record pace, as despite sanctions short term finance has not been affected and therefore wheat trade is not being obstructed. Ukraine’s exports are also due to keep the Black Sea busy, while both countries are experiencing a near record harvest”.
Meanwhile, “moving on to the other side of the Atlantic, the US has been con-firming that a bumper harvest is expected, while at the same time prices for the US grains have been fairing at very attractive levels. Similarly to the last quarter of 2013, it looks like Brazil will once again play an important role in the performance of the USG business in the following months. The country has temporarily eliminated the Common External Tariff, which is traditionally imposed on imports from non-Mercosul countries. An identical policy was set last sum-mer, just in time before North American wheat cargoes en-route to Brazil started flooding the USG and pushing rates for the geared sizes up. With Brazil being uncertain as to whether Argentina would be able to satisfy this year’s demand either, the country has again distanced itself from its traditional wheat supplier and a similar rec-ord volume of US imports is anticipated this year as well”, she noted.
Tzima concluded that “so it could well be the case that during Q4 we end up witnessing a market of two speeds, with the performance of the Capesize market lugging behind that of the geared sizes, as China appears to have turned its back on Capers for now. We are always in for a good surprise that could come in the form of stronger stimulus by the Chinese government or an upward revision of global growth. Any hypothesis aside though, my sense is that we have hyper inflated our expectations for the last quarter of the year, in the same way we did at the end of 2013 for the entire 2014, while in terms of tonnage performance; bigger might not be better this fall”.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 19 October 14
LOW DEMAND PUSHES DOWN COAL FREIGHT RATES; VOLATILITY CONTINUES
COALspot.com: This week all the segments softened including BDI except for Panamax index.
The BDI was down by1.70 pct and clsoed at 944 points ...
Friday, 17 October 14
INTERNATIONAL COAL PRICES ARE AT LOWEST LEVEL; COAL STOCKS AT INDIAN POWER PLANTS ARE ALSO AT LOWEST LEVEL
International coal prices as well as coal freights are falling and reaching to its lowest levels. According to PTI, fuel stockpiles at the thermal ...
Friday, 17 October 14
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP BY 3.6% WEEK - ON - WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.20 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 17 October 14
DRY BULK SHIPPING'S OUTLOOK NOW SHIFTING TO A LESS PROMISING ONE, SHIP PRICES EXPECTED TO FOLLOW SOON - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
China’s and other Asian countries’ return to the dry bulk market last week, didn’t trigger the hoped support towards the dry bulk ...
Thursday, 16 October 14
KOREA MIDLAND POWER TO BUY 490K MT OF LCV COAL FOR 1Q 2015
COALspot.com : Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd. has invited bids through International open bidding for 490,000 Metric Tons (MT) of LCV (Sub) Bitumino ...
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Showing 3421 to 3425 news of total 6871 |
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- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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