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Friday, 23 May 14
DRY BULK NEWBUILDING CANCELLATIONS COULD HELP SUPPORT MARKET IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's demise over the past few months maybe has come as a surprise to many, but analysts and shipbrokers are looking forward to the coming months with more optimism, mainly as a result of improving conditions in terms of tonnage supply. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, "things have started to look brighter for several of the OECD countries, with both Europe and the U.S. seeing an increase in their respective growth forecasts. For the latter, many are expecting an improvement over the second half of the year, as the ample cash flow and improved demand should eventually boost their imports significantly. These are more likely to effect the tanker and more importantly container markets and should give both these a boost. It doesn’t just stop there though".
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Research Analyst with Intermodal, "there is still ample seaborne trade to be seen this year and as the fleet growth has now been limited, shipping markets should be able to perform better then what they had 2-3 years back. In the dry bulk market we have seen 240 newbuildings delivered up until now, while from the remaining 584 vessels scheduled for 2014, a significant number are likely to either be delayed or even cancelled.
It is important to note here that even during 2013 and while the market was on a more optimistic tone, the combined slippage and cancellation rate was 36.5%, while during 2014, 58 newbuildings have already either been re-scheduled for post 2014 or cancelled. Similarly, in the Tanker sector deliveries for this year are mild in contrast to past years. What’s more is that the Tanker sector also holds much better trade prospects for the remainder of the year and this could lead to a better year in terms of earnings", he noted.
In an attempt to explain the lacklustre performance of the shipping markets during the first few months of 2014, Mr. Lazaridis noted that "the recent revision by the OECD of its global growth forecast has sparked a debate as to the potential outcome these new figures will have on seaborne trade. The main concern has been the slower expansion of China and other emerging markets. These markets have been the prime movers of trade over the past decade and as we witnessed over the past months, things are starting to become a tighter in terms of activity of bulk commodities.
The most important factor has been the crackdown on lending by the Chinese, which in turn prompted many organizations to revise their forecasts on Chinese GDP this year from a previous prediction of 8.2 percent, down to 7.4 percent. At the same time, many are confident that should there be a sharp slowdown in economic activity, the People’s Bank of China will step in and ease some of its monetary policies. Nevertheless, we have already seen these lending restrictions take effect on certain trades, with even difficulties in issuing letters of credit by some traders cutting down their import volumes", he said.
Mr. Lazaridis added that "the dry bulk market has felt the main brunt of these new trends, with the spring season being more limited in cargoes than usual and rates having taken a sharp turn for the worst through most of the past months. This has caused many to revise their ideas as to the overall freight market performance for 2014 and has even brought a halt in the previously peaking SnP activity, pushing for a correction in asset prices. Early May has seen an average of 3% drop in dry bulk asset prices compared to where they stood at the end of April and as many potential buyers are waiting for further corrections, this downturn could easily continue at least up until the first half of the summer".
Concluding, he noted that "all this could possibly see for a higher investment interest especially come September were we typically start to see a firmer freight market in the Dry Bulk, Tanker and Container markets. It looks as now it’s a bit of a “wait and see” game and as the clouds of uncertainty clear out we should end up with a clearer picture as to where the market is going".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 23 June 14
INDONESIAN COAL SWAP FOR Q3 DELIVERY LOST 8.60% Y-O-Y;4.80% M-O-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on day, week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports re ...
Monday, 23 June 14
COAL SWAPS DROPS FURTHER MONTH ON MONTH ON WEAK DEMAND
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 6.91 percent month on month and closed at US$ 69.00 per mt a ...
Sunday, 22 June 14
THE PANAMAX COAL FREIGHT FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA SLIPPED THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, which tracks rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities, fell slightly on Friday ...
Friday, 20 June 14
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR UPSIDE ON ROBUST SEABORNE IRON ORE TRADE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market hasn’t been able to justify the heightened expectations this year. Yesterday, the Baltic Dry Index managed to inch forwar ...
Friday, 20 June 14
US WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DROPS 1.8% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.3 million short tons (mmst) of coal in a ...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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