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Friday, 23 May 14
DRY BULK NEWBUILDING CANCELLATIONS COULD HELP SUPPORT MARKET IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's demise over the past few months maybe has come as a surprise to many, but analysts and shipbrokers are looking forward to the coming months with more optimism, mainly as a result of improving conditions in terms of tonnage supply. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, "things have started to look brighter for several of the OECD countries, with both Europe and the U.S. seeing an increase in their respective growth forecasts. For the latter, many are expecting an improvement over the second half of the year, as the ample cash flow and improved demand should eventually boost their imports significantly. These are more likely to effect the tanker and more importantly container markets and should give both these a boost. It doesn’t just stop there though".
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Research Analyst with Intermodal, "there is still ample seaborne trade to be seen this year and as the fleet growth has now been limited, shipping markets should be able to perform better then what they had 2-3 years back. In the dry bulk market we have seen 240 newbuildings delivered up until now, while from the remaining 584 vessels scheduled for 2014, a significant number are likely to either be delayed or even cancelled.
It is important to note here that even during 2013 and while the market was on a more optimistic tone, the combined slippage and cancellation rate was 36.5%, while during 2014, 58 newbuildings have already either been re-scheduled for post 2014 or cancelled. Similarly, in the Tanker sector deliveries for this year are mild in contrast to past years. What’s more is that the Tanker sector also holds much better trade prospects for the remainder of the year and this could lead to a better year in terms of earnings", he noted.
In an attempt to explain the lacklustre performance of the shipping markets during the first few months of 2014, Mr. Lazaridis noted that "the recent revision by the OECD of its global growth forecast has sparked a debate as to the potential outcome these new figures will have on seaborne trade. The main concern has been the slower expansion of China and other emerging markets. These markets have been the prime movers of trade over the past decade and as we witnessed over the past months, things are starting to become a tighter in terms of activity of bulk commodities.
The most important factor has been the crackdown on lending by the Chinese, which in turn prompted many organizations to revise their forecasts on Chinese GDP this year from a previous prediction of 8.2 percent, down to 7.4 percent. At the same time, many are confident that should there be a sharp slowdown in economic activity, the People’s Bank of China will step in and ease some of its monetary policies. Nevertheless, we have already seen these lending restrictions take effect on certain trades, with even difficulties in issuing letters of credit by some traders cutting down their import volumes", he said.
Mr. Lazaridis added that "the dry bulk market has felt the main brunt of these new trends, with the spring season being more limited in cargoes than usual and rates having taken a sharp turn for the worst through most of the past months. This has caused many to revise their ideas as to the overall freight market performance for 2014 and has even brought a halt in the previously peaking SnP activity, pushing for a correction in asset prices. Early May has seen an average of 3% drop in dry bulk asset prices compared to where they stood at the end of April and as many potential buyers are waiting for further corrections, this downturn could easily continue at least up until the first half of the summer".
Concluding, he noted that "all this could possibly see for a higher investment interest especially come September were we typically start to see a firmer freight market in the Dry Bulk, Tanker and Container markets. It looks as now it’s a bit of a “wait and see” game and as the clouds of uncertainty clear out we should end up with a clearer picture as to where the market is going".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 30 June 14
WEEKLY CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS DECLINE CONTINUES; Q1'15 LOST US$ 4.55 PMT IN A WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in Q3 fell US$ 5.25 month on month on Friday, dipping under $69 a tone. The CFR South Ch ...
Monday, 30 June 14
INDO - INDIA FREIGHT RATES CONTINUE TO WEAK
COALspot.com: The latest dry Index shows that average all-in spot freight declined, the Panamax and Supramax slipping by 9.11 percent and 4% respec ...
Friday, 27 June 14
DRY BULK MARKET STILL LOOKING FOR UPSIDE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has kept up its lacklustre performance during the past week, as evidenced by the course of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI). The BDI ...
Thursday, 26 June 14
PANAMAX : A PACIFIC ROUND PAYS AROUND US$ 3K DAILY - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
In the Atlantic there has been little activity which again has caused rates to slip across all trades. TA´s are now down to US$ 5,500 ...
Thursday, 26 June 14
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR TOTAL 750K MT OF BITUMINOUS COAL FOR 3CY
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) has issued a new tender for supply of total 250,000 MT of bituminous co ...
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
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