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Friday, 23 May 14
DRY BULK NEWBUILDING CANCELLATIONS COULD HELP SUPPORT MARKET IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's demise over the past few months maybe has come as a surprise to many, but analysts and shipbrokers are looking forward to the coming months with more optimism, mainly as a result of improving conditions in terms of tonnage supply. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, "things have started to look brighter for several of the OECD countries, with both Europe and the U.S. seeing an increase in their respective growth forecasts. For the latter, many are expecting an improvement over the second half of the year, as the ample cash flow and improved demand should eventually boost their imports significantly. These are more likely to effect the tanker and more importantly container markets and should give both these a boost. It doesn’t just stop there though".
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Research Analyst with Intermodal, "there is still ample seaborne trade to be seen this year and as the fleet growth has now been limited, shipping markets should be able to perform better then what they had 2-3 years back. In the dry bulk market we have seen 240 newbuildings delivered up until now, while from the remaining 584 vessels scheduled for 2014, a significant number are likely to either be delayed or even cancelled.
It is important to note here that even during 2013 and while the market was on a more optimistic tone, the combined slippage and cancellation rate was 36.5%, while during 2014, 58 newbuildings have already either been re-scheduled for post 2014 or cancelled. Similarly, in the Tanker sector deliveries for this year are mild in contrast to past years. What’s more is that the Tanker sector also holds much better trade prospects for the remainder of the year and this could lead to a better year in terms of earnings", he noted.
In an attempt to explain the lacklustre performance of the shipping markets during the first few months of 2014, Mr. Lazaridis noted that "the recent revision by the OECD of its global growth forecast has sparked a debate as to the potential outcome these new figures will have on seaborne trade. The main concern has been the slower expansion of China and other emerging markets. These markets have been the prime movers of trade over the past decade and as we witnessed over the past months, things are starting to become a tighter in terms of activity of bulk commodities.
The most important factor has been the crackdown on lending by the Chinese, which in turn prompted many organizations to revise their forecasts on Chinese GDP this year from a previous prediction of 8.2 percent, down to 7.4 percent. At the same time, many are confident that should there be a sharp slowdown in economic activity, the People’s Bank of China will step in and ease some of its monetary policies. Nevertheless, we have already seen these lending restrictions take effect on certain trades, with even difficulties in issuing letters of credit by some traders cutting down their import volumes", he said.
Mr. Lazaridis added that "the dry bulk market has felt the main brunt of these new trends, with the spring season being more limited in cargoes than usual and rates having taken a sharp turn for the worst through most of the past months. This has caused many to revise their ideas as to the overall freight market performance for 2014 and has even brought a halt in the previously peaking SnP activity, pushing for a correction in asset prices. Early May has seen an average of 3% drop in dry bulk asset prices compared to where they stood at the end of April and as many potential buyers are waiting for further corrections, this downturn could easily continue at least up until the first half of the summer".
Concluding, he noted that "all this could possibly see for a higher investment interest especially come September were we typically start to see a firmer freight market in the Dry Bulk, Tanker and Container markets. It looks as now it’s a bit of a “wait and see” game and as the clouds of uncertainty clear out we should end up with a clearer picture as to where the market is going".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 16 June 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FALL CONTINUES THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 4.34 percent month on month and closed at US$ 71.05 per mt a ...
Sunday, 15 June 14
COAL FREIGHT RATES FALL FURTHER ON LACK OF DEMANDS - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The BDI softened this week as all segments fell this week. The Panamax sector being most affected. The Cape index was down 3.51 pct w ...
Friday, 13 June 14
US COAL PRODUCTION FELL 3% IN WEEK THAT ENDED JUNE 7, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal in a ...
Friday, 13 June 14
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS ON FALLING, DESPITE RESPITE OF THE CAPESIZE SECTOR - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has kept on its lacklustre performance overall, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) still hovering below the 1,000 point mark. Yest ...
Thursday, 12 June 14
INDONESIA SETS HBA FOR MONTH OF JUNE AT US$ 73.64
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia has revised up first time in last four months the coal bench mark price. ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Planning Commission, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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