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Tuesday, 13 May 14
YET ANOTHER POSIDONIA EXHIBITION IS ON ITS WAY - INTERMODAL
With less than a month to go before another Posidonia exhibition starts and all the parties and celebrations get under way we thought that it would be interesting to do a little comparison as to the state of the market and how things were viewed during the last Posidonia two years ago and comparatively where we find ourselves today. It has been quite a bumpy ride with many twist and turns that one might say were unexpected. Through this we found ourselves in both times of lucrative opportunities as well as times of despair. But the question remains, how have the markets faired so far and is there something positive to look forward to in the future, or putting it more bluntly is it going to be a Posidonia of smiles and parties or one of pitiful sobbing and long faces?
It seems only yesterday that Posidonia 2012 was kicking off and many could see much in the horizon to worry about and concern over. The difficulties of the Post-Financial crisis had just started their most prominent face. Freight rates had just had one of their most significant drops during the first half of the year, dropping to highly uninspiring levels (in some cases below OPEX) and staying there for months on end. The over-swollen orderbook of the past had finally caught up with us with ever more newbuildings entering active ser- vice and pushing the market into further oversupply. What’s more, is that this felt like only the begging as there was still a large number of vessels scheduled for delivery over the rest of 2012 and the majority of 2013. Ship finance had all but halted in its tracks with a number of prominent shipping banks announcing that they were putting their portfolios up for sale. And the troubles seem to not just end there. Downgrading of a series of A-list banks as well government credit ratings, continually falling economic growth figures for the global economy and no light to be seen at the end of the dark tunnel we were in. Hope was there for 2014 but it seemed such a long way away and many felt as if things would get a whole lot worse before they got better.
So what happened to all these worries and concerns in the end and what effects did they end up having for the market? The freight market continued to hold at fairly depressed levels up until early September 2012 and even then the peak period of the autumn and winter months was considerably subdued compared to other years. This lead to a series of drops in the Secondhand and newbuilding markets as Sellers and Shipbuilders started to become more realistic with regards to the prevailing market conditions. As these drops started to become ever more prominent buying activity started to peak. 2012 proved to have a higher volume in secondhand transac- tions then 2011 and with prices continuing their drop ever more buyers, who had been waiting in the sidelines with cash at hand, started to toy with the idea of acting on their instincts. We therefore found ourselves reaching the asset price lows of late 2012 and with the start of the new year a buying frenzy began. This buying frenzy was not just limited to secondhand units any more. New orders started to pie on, as many felt that by the time they would be deliv- ered there would not be a dark cloud in sight. This ever increasing interest had a strong effect on prices and although freight rates were still holding at rock bottom levels the longer term picture was looking more promising while many felt that there was a strong case for asset play. This was all up until September, were this time around the seasonal boom in the freight market was significant to such an extent that it reached levels last seen in 2010. This fed fur- ther into the buying loop push asset prices off the roof.
Come 2014 and the sentiment and optimism started to fade as the freight market started to take a hit or two. The once hopeful pro- spects of 2014 started to show a darker side. It seems as though the troubled global economy is not out of the woods yet and has several obstacles to overcome before everything is back to nice and rosy again. The strong hold of China that has been keeping the global economy in motion these past years has showed signs of strain through its troubled financing sector. Shadow financing has played a pivotal role in keeping the ball rolling in the past as we have men- tioned before and as the government starts to put pressure on this excess lending traders have found it difficult to cover their credit requirements, even backing off from trades due to lack of credit lines. All these have started to now take effect on the Sale and Pur- chase of vessels as well, with the price momentum of the past now coming to a halt and starting to show small signs of weakening.
So where do we find ourselves today? It seems that there is still a long way to go before the market finds a more stable foothold and we see the upside of the typical market cycles. Global Growth has recently been revised slightly up and it looks like the second half of 2014 will be more optimistic than the first. Nevertheless, the order- ing frenzy that took place during the past year has gradually lead to a much larger orderbook and this might put further strain on the balance between supply and demand. The much anticipated recov- ery might not be there just yet, however it looks as though we are on a good path for now and there are still plenty of opportunities to be had. Let’s hope things will only get better from here on out.
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 02 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET SHOWING SIGNS OF COMEBACK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market which has been hovering below the 1,000-point market (BDI) during the past couple of weeks, could be exhibiting signs of a s ...
Thursday, 01 May 14
INDONESIA EXPORT BAN POINTS TO QUESTIONS OVER CHINA'S LONG-TERM BAUXITE SUPPLY - WOOD MACKENZIE
China’s Bauxite demand forecast to reach 240 million tonnes by 2030
In light of the Indonesian mineral ore ban that came into force o ...
Thursday, 01 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET STILL REELING UNDER PRESSURE FROM VARIOUS FACTORS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's revival is still overdue, as the industry's benchmark, the BDI is still lagging below the 1,000-point mark. In fac ...
Wednesday, 30 April 14
FREIGHT MARKET FOR DRY BULKERS STILL REMAINS WEAK - INTERMODAL
One week after the Easter holiday and the celebration for the resurrection of Christ, everybody expected to see a similar sign of a revival in t ...
Tuesday, 29 April 14
Q4 SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 1.07 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q2’ 2014 gain on month and on week according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports rele ...
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Showing 3726 to 3730 news of total 6871 |
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- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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