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Thursday, 12 September 13
CAPESIZE MARKET WILL BECOME EVEN TIGHTER - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com : While it is no secret that current capesize availability has become tight and has caused capesize rates to surge, availability is set to become even tighter in the near future once Drummond coal cargoes return to the market (when the strike is resolved) and also due to the very large amount of Brazilian iron ore cargoes that have continued to surface. So far this week, 10 capesize vessels have been chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes. This is a very large amount, and already exceeds the robust 9 capesize vessels that were chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes during all of last week.
The last time that 10 or more capesize vessels were chartered to haul iron ore cargoes in a single week was the Week Ending November 16, 2012. Chinese demand for imported iron ore is currently very strong, which is helping capesize rates to surge. However, the capesize market will again benefit from the current level of activity as spot capesize availability will find itself even tighter in the near future. It is extremely encouraging for the capesize market that so many capesize vessels have recently been chartered for long-haul Brazil to China iron ore exports. In addition, Atlantic basin spot capesize availability will become even more tight whenever the Drummond coal strike officially comes to an end.
For the capesize market, near term prospects remain encouraging. There will be fluctuations whenever there are brief dips in Chinese demand, but overall we believe in the weeks and months to come there will be days when average daily capesize rates easily increase by over $3,000 in a single day. That’s the beauty of dry bulk shipping. Demand for vessels is quite inelastic and not very responsive to changes in prices. When a charterer needs a vessel, he (she) needs a vessel. And when spot vessel availability is tight, an environment is created where freight rates are prone to large increases. With some many capesize vessels recently being chartered to haul long-haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes -- and with an increase in Drummond coal cargoes being poised to re-emerge in the market at some point like in the near future -- the already tight capesize market will become even tighter.
By: Jeffrey Landsberg | Managing Director, Commodore Research & Consultancy
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
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Wednesday, 13 November 13
Q3' 14 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS CLOSED HIGHER THAN Q1' 14 PRICES
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1 14 delivery gained 0.55 percept W-W on Friday 8 November 2013. The CFR South China Co ...
Wednesday, 13 November 13
THE SOFTENING HAS AFFECTED THE BIGGER SIZE SEGMENTS; SMALLER ONES STILL APPEAR TO BE VERY STABLE - INTERMODAL
After a month and a half of back to back weekly declines, the dry bulk market has finally reversed its negative course. We believe that there should ...
Wednesday, 13 November 13
DRY BULK MARKET HAS REVERSED ITS NEGATIVE COURSE - INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Firm+ / Dry: Stable+ )
The Dry Bulk market has reversed its negative course this past week with rates for Capes making up fo ...
Wednesday, 13 November 13
NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS PLUNGE 12.40% IN W/E 10 NOVEMBER FROM THE PRIOR WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended November 11, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totaled 2.42 ...
Monday, 11 November 13
TAMIL NADU STATE OWNED POWER GENERATOR TO IMPORT 3.7 MMT OF 6000 GAD COAL
COALspot.com - TANGEDCO, Tamil Nadu Generation & Distribution Corporation Ltd, Tamil Nadu state owned power generator & distributor intends ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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