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Thursday, 12 September 13
CAPESIZE MARKET WILL BECOME EVEN TIGHTER - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com : While it is no secret that current capesize availability has become tight and has caused capesize rates to surge, availability is set to become even tighter in the near future once Drummond coal cargoes return to the market (when the strike is resolved) and also due to the very large amount of Brazilian iron ore cargoes that have continued to surface. So far this week, 10 capesize vessels have been chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes. This is a very large amount, and already exceeds the robust 9 capesize vessels that were chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes during all of last week.
The last time that 10 or more capesize vessels were chartered to haul iron ore cargoes in a single week was the Week Ending November 16, 2012. Chinese demand for imported iron ore is currently very strong, which is helping capesize rates to surge. However, the capesize market will again benefit from the current level of activity as spot capesize availability will find itself even tighter in the near future. It is extremely encouraging for the capesize market that so many capesize vessels have recently been chartered for long-haul Brazil to China iron ore exports. In addition, Atlantic basin spot capesize availability will become even more tight whenever the Drummond coal strike officially comes to an end.
For the capesize market, near term prospects remain encouraging. There will be fluctuations whenever there are brief dips in Chinese demand, but overall we believe in the weeks and months to come there will be days when average daily capesize rates easily increase by over $3,000 in a single day. That’s the beauty of dry bulk shipping. Demand for vessels is quite inelastic and not very responsive to changes in prices. When a charterer needs a vessel, he (she) needs a vessel. And when spot vessel availability is tight, an environment is created where freight rates are prone to large increases. With some many capesize vessels recently being chartered to haul long-haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes -- and with an increase in Drummond coal cargoes being poised to re-emerge in the market at some point like in the near future -- the already tight capesize market will become even tighter.
By: Jeffrey Landsberg | Managing Director, Commodore Research & Consultancy
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Tuesday, 19 November 13
SHIP OWNER POUR MORE MONEY INTO DRY BULK CARRIER ACQUISITIONS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The recent dry bulk market's rally, coupled with an expected fall in oversupply and robust cargo demand has boosted ship owners' optimism on the l ...
Monday, 18 November 13
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOST ON WEEK; MARGINALLY GAINED ON DAY
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 1.25 pmt month on month on Friday 15 Novemb ...
Sunday, 17 November 13
Q4' 14 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 3.43 PMT (4.34 %) HIGHER THAN Q1' 14 SWAP
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 0.05 percept d-d on Friday 15 November 2013. The CFR South ...
Saturday, 16 November 13
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES FIRM DUE TO STRONG COAL ACTIVITIES
COALspot.com: The Cape and Panamax index was down this week and pulling down the BDI by about 5 pct. BDI was closed at 1507 points on Friday 1 ...
Friday, 15 November 13
DRY BULK MARKET STILL LINGERING ON, DESPITE PREDICTIONS OF NEW IMMINENT RALLY PRIOR TO THE YEAR'S END - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market hasn't yet managed to stage a new comeback after its retreat from the recent multiyear highs. Yesterday, the industry's benchm ...
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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