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Thursday, 12 September 13
CAPESIZE MARKET WILL BECOME EVEN TIGHTER - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com : While it is no secret that current capesize availability has become tight and has caused capesize rates to surge, availability is set to become even tighter in the near future once Drummond coal cargoes return to the market (when the strike is resolved) and also due to the very large amount of Brazilian iron ore cargoes that have continued to surface. So far this week, 10 capesize vessels have been chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes. This is a very large amount, and already exceeds the robust 9 capesize vessels that were chartered to haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes during all of last week.
The last time that 10 or more capesize vessels were chartered to haul iron ore cargoes in a single week was the Week Ending November 16, 2012. Chinese demand for imported iron ore is currently very strong, which is helping capesize rates to surge. However, the capesize market will again benefit from the current level of activity as spot capesize availability will find itself even tighter in the near future. It is extremely encouraging for the capesize market that so many capesize vessels have recently been chartered for long-haul Brazil to China iron ore exports. In addition, Atlantic basin spot capesize availability will become even more tight whenever the Drummond coal strike officially comes to an end.
For the capesize market, near term prospects remain encouraging. There will be fluctuations whenever there are brief dips in Chinese demand, but overall we believe in the weeks and months to come there will be days when average daily capesize rates easily increase by over $3,000 in a single day. That’s the beauty of dry bulk shipping. Demand for vessels is quite inelastic and not very responsive to changes in prices. When a charterer needs a vessel, he (she) needs a vessel. And when spot vessel availability is tight, an environment is created where freight rates are prone to large increases. With some many capesize vessels recently being chartered to haul long-haul Brazilian iron ore cargoes -- and with an increase in Drummond coal cargoes being poised to re-emerge in the market at some point like in the near future -- the already tight capesize market will become even tighter.
By: Jeffrey Landsberg | Managing Director, Commodore Research & Consultancy
About Commodore Research & Consultancy
Commodore Research & Consultancy is an independent New York City-based consultancy that focuses on the global demand, supply, and seaborne trade of industrial and agricultural commodities, with a particular focus on China. Commodore Research & Consultancy's analysts handle a wide variety of consulting requests and custom reports. Commodore Research & Consultancy also offers two standard report subscriptions (Dry Bulk Report Subscription and China Report Subscription).
Views expressed herein are personal views of the author and not that of COALspot.com. We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining, shipping, etc. To submit your articles please click here
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Thursday, 07 November 13
THE ENERGY INDUSTRY'S RISING WATER CHALLENGE - WOOD MACKENZIE
Water poses a variety of business risks for the energy industry, and could play an influential role in shaping the future energy supply mix, accordi ...
Thursday, 07 November 13
HANDY : INDO/CHINA ROUNDS ARE SEEING BIDS AT AROUND $16K
Handy
In the Atlantic we have seen more activity this week with several fixtures being concluded at firm rates. USG/Feast been reported at 30k and ...
Wednesday, 06 November 13
THE BIGGER SIZE SEGMENTS LOST GROUND WHILE SUPRAS AND HANDIES HELD ON TO THEIR GAINS - INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Stable+ / Dry: Stable- )
A mirror image of the week prior for the Dry Bulk market, as once more the bigger size segments los ...
Wednesday, 06 November 13
WILL NEW ORDERS DRIVE THE MARKET DOWN AGAIN ONCE DELIVERIES COMMENCE
"While there are many concerns on whether the new orders will drive the market down again once deliveries commence, the second half of 2013 has ...
Tuesday, 05 November 13
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SEES DROP IN COAL EXPORTS W-W
COALspot.com: In the week ended November 4, Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totaled 2.77 m ...
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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