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Thursday, 12 September 13
OVER THE WORST? WE MIGHT FIND OUT THIS WEEK - BIMCO
The shipping market has a spring in its step, even as summer draws to a close. There is it seems, confidence that finally, we are emerging into the light and the beginnings of a sustained recovery. In this sense, London International Shipping Week, which will be in full swing by the time this piece is published, will be a useful thermometer with which to take the patient’s temperature.
We might not get a full appraisal and certainly the industry will need to be kept under observation, but there should be plenty of discussion of whether the worst is over and how quickly earnings and operations can get back to normal.
As a participant this week I shall certainly be looking for signs of returning confidence and full recovery but Jonah that I am, I’m not completely convinced we are out of the woods yet.
The problem that shipping has at the moment is equating activity with achievement. If we all just look busy, the feeling goes, we can work our way out of this. And just when you’re least expecting it, you’ll pop your head up and everything will be rosy again. This scenario is very unlikely to take place, at least in the short term.
For one thing, shipyard capacity is still far, far, too high and the very short memories of those who cashed in at the flood are still strong enough to have them believe that there is money to be made by hanging tight and waiting for better times. In one sense this might be true, if some of the ships lashed together as the yard was being built around them really are as short-lived as some people predict.
It would be a good thing if the global fleet was renewed and its average age reduced so significantly that one source of casualty risk is reduced, or even removed. Unfortunately, recent casualties tend to suggest that it is not as simple as that.
Singling out the shipyards seems a little unfair, after all it is the owners that keep on coming back for more. But the fact that some are prepared to continue to cut prices in order to attract business undermines the entire industry and creates the worst possible two-tier market.
Owners are hardly in the best of health either, an observation based on the eagerness with which they are flocking to new sources of finance – now that the banks have decided they will mostly pass – and their willingness to order against analysis of economic recovery which is far from proven.
The change in complexion of the Chinese economy, even given that country’s extraordinary ability to manage its movements up and down is in stark contrast to the rout being effected on the Indian currency (and others) as a result merely of expectations that the US Fed will taper its QE programme. Micro-economic conditions elsewhere remain fragile to say the least. To take one example, London property prices (and hotel room rates) are high but the country’s recovery seems predicated on very doubtful fundamentals.
Analysts have forecast the end of the commodities boom since the start of the year if not longer and the reversal of fortune in Australia’s economy is testament to that. It seems self-evident that an extractive industry is unsustainable in the very long term but when the demand profile changes, the supply side has to adjust. Look at the tanker market and shale gas for further evidence of that.
The major shipping markets remain volatile and treacherous, even despite the summer’s dry bulk upturn and some semblance of order returning to tanker and containership markets. In the first of these, simply look how far out the forward curve has pushed a recovery – with Cal14 Cape levels below spot values last week.
At the same time costs, primarily as a result of regulation and the cost of quality labour continue to remain high. But the situation here is if anything even more confused. Owners have to budget and plan for some regulations that continue to move away from them and others that seem set in stone, despite concerns that they will be difficult to comply with and will put further pressure on the price of operations.
At the same time, owners are engrossed in hot pursuit of energy efficiency initiatives, many of which sound promising but which are in some cases lacking in empirical evidence as to their efficacy.
Elsewhere, security concerns a remain, with new threats emerging, in Libya, Suez and in the eastern Mediterranean to add to those already well known off east and west Africa. These will hopefully be temporary effects – though ironically some degree of disruption can be good for earnings – but no one can image that a long term closure of the Suez Canal for example is in the industry’s best interest.
New frontiers continue to be explored, with the first Chinese transit of the Northern Sea Route recently completed. Even the secretary general of the IMO has made the journey, suggesting that shipping is preparing for this to become part of the business as usual scenario before long.
And yet doesn’t it also seem likely that during his voyage, Mr Sekimizu will have come to the inescapable conclusion that melting summer ice on the NSR should probably go in the ‘cons’ column when weighing the effect in the context of global warming?
Perhaps he will have returned doubly convinced that the industry must tackle the carbon dioxide issue and perhaps more troublingly, the carbon black issue, before too long.
Still, take a look at this week’s LISW programme and it seems inconceivable that any of these pressing issues will be overlooked. With NGO, governmental and industry representatives from across the board meeting, greeting and generally doing their thing, this is actually a very strong opportunity to build a platform for the next year and beyond.
And in case one was in any doubt that it was a shipping industry affair, there’s even a black tie dinner, where the industry can toast its successes and look to the future, confident it has a handle on all the big issues and solid strategies to cope with them.
Source: BIMCO / Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 19 June 13
NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 16.05 PERCENT LESS COAL W/E 17 JUNE 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,606,071 tons of coal for the week ended 0700 hours 17 June 2013, Newcastle Port Corp. ...
Sunday, 16 June 13
WEAK DEMAND KEEPS COAL PRICES LOW
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average July 2013 delivery have lost 2.94 percent week on week but gained 0.06 percent ...
Saturday, 15 June 13
S7 AND S8 ROUTES ARE EXPECTED TO BE STEADY NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week freight movement was fairly firm with news of China is rebuilding iron ore stockpiles, and ease import rules. Cape and Pana ...
Saturday, 15 June 13
SHIPPING CONFIDENCE REACHES HIGHEST LEVEL FOR TWO AND A HALF YEARS - MOORE STEPHENS
Overall confidence levels in the shipping industry rose to their highest level for two and a half years in the three months ended May 2013, accordin ...
Friday, 14 June 13
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED APPROXIMATELY 18.20 MILLION SHORT TONS W/E 8 JUNE 2013
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 18.20 million short tons (mmst) of ...
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Planning Commission, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
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