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Friday, 05 July 13
THE DRY BULK MARKET IS GOING FROM STRENGTH TO STRENGTH - INTERMODAL
The Capesize sector has been one that has gone through a wild rollercoaster of emotions this past decade, ranging from the exuberance witnessed during the boom years of the shipping ''supercycle'' down to the dreadful doldrums during the first half of this year were fixtures were reported at levels well below OPEX.
It’s also been a sector often closely associated with the Asian Economic Powerhouse, namely China and its seemingly insatiable appetite for development linked raw materials (especially iron ore and coal) which are a gauge to its overall economic development as well as its future prospects.
All this has always held Capes as a bit of a buzzword amongst SnP brokers, while nowadays this has been more so as we have seen an impressive array of recent SnP transactions (mainly second hand but also a significant number of NBs) during the first six months of 2013.
Main interest has been for vessels built between 1997 and 2004 (9-16 years of age), partly due to their relatively lower values compared to what was seen two year back, but also due to the ''enhanced'' prospects brought about the occasional Chinese replenishing of stock-piles (of the most recent have been during the final quarter of 2012 and another which is currently underway).
The order book as it stands today is at levels less daunting than other sectors such as panamaxes, with around 37.45 mill dwt scheduled to be added to the current capacity of 274 mill dwt till 2016. That is equivalent to 14% of the current fleet compared to an order book-to-fleet ratio of 22% seen for Panamaxes.
In terms of numbers, there are a further 80 capes scheduled for delivery within the rest of 2013, 74 set or next year, another 29 or 2015 and beyond.
Norwegian shipping magnate Fredriksen was one of the first to signal the start of the most recent drive or new orders, while his most recently reported order for 2 X 205k dwt VLOC at Bohai shows a clear vote of confidence as to the prospects of the sector. Some claim that the recent rally in the freight market which caused rates to surge from the depths of US$ 6,000/day that they had been seeing on average this year to climb to the staggering level of US$ 14,866/day which is only a breath away from the psychological barrier of US$ 15,000/day.
It is important to point out that capes started 2012 at approximately US$ 16-18k per day, thereafter plunged down to between US$ 6-4 k per day till Sept/Oct where they staged a recovery and peaked once again at US$ 18,388/day by end Oct where after they nosedived back down to an average of US$ 6k per day with small variations till May 2013 when the most recent rally in freight rates began.
In conclusion and having as a backdrop all the above mentioned regarding more balanced growth and temporarily improvement in the freight market, we have had the following capes changing hand the last month;
the “Mineral Sines” (172kdwt blt 2002 Daewoo) rgn US$ 19.80 mill to a joint venture between Italians and major commodity traders/charterers,
the “Atlantic Princess” (180k dwt blt 2003 Imabari) rgn US$ 20.3 mill with SS/DD due to Greeks
the slightly older “Star Fortune” (170k dwt blt 1999 IHI) rgn US$ 15 mill to Chinese and down to the much older “Noni M” (183k dwt blt 1995 Kawasaki) rgn US$ 10.5 mill to HK Buyers.
Chartering
The Dry Bulk market is going from strength to strength, with the BDI now “flirting” with the 1,200 points level. The rally in the Capesize segment is still the main driver behind the positive sentiment that has boosted the market, providing a very strong rate reversal, one that most market players expected to take place a bit later in the year.
The Capesize market has had an excellent run throughout the month of June. With charterers getting back in action and at the same time disruptions taking place in Brazilian ports, ones which have only recently started easing a bit, rates for Capes have kept firming this past week, mainly boosted by activity in the 'Atlantic basin where the average rate has now surpassed the $ 15,000/day level, more than doubling since the beginning of the month of June.
Activity in the Atlantic still remains very supportive for Panamax rates, with shorter tonnage lists in N.Continent, boosting rates for another week, while ex-ECSA cargoes increasing further activity in the area. At the same time things in the Pacific remain a bit flattish but underlined by improved sentiment overall.
Rates for Supras and Handies have also firmed this week, with cargoes ex-ECSA boosting activity for both segments. The USG area keeps witnessing very good levels of fixtures for Supras, while the Pacific basin still provides most of the upside momentum for Handies.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure:
For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
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Sunday, 07 July 13
COAL PRICES REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com – Coal swaps for the year 2014 indicate that, the pressure on coal prices will continue at least until next year. Ave ...
Thursday, 04 July 13
CHALLENGER SIGNS FORMAL EXCLUSIVE MINING AND MARKETING AGREEMENT FOR ABBR PROJECT IN CENTRAL KALIMANTAN
COALspot.com - Challenger Deep Resources Corp., through its subsidiary PT Bestindo Energy has signed the formal exclusive Mining and Marketing agree ...
Thursday, 04 July 13
ASX LISTED QBL TO ACQUIRE INTERESTS IN MOZAMBIQUE COAL EXPLORATION LICENSES
- QBL to acquire interests in two Mozambique exploration licences prospective for coal
- Licenses located in the highly prospective Zambezi basin, ...
Thursday, 04 July 13
HANDY : INDO/CHINA, CHARTERERS RATING AROUND US$ 10,000 - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Feast market firmed slightly up as mid-July cargos entered the market, but charterers seems not in hurry to cover them and looking for ch ...
Wednesday, 03 July 13
NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS DIP 24.79 PER CENT WOW
COALspot.com - Newcastle Coal exports fell 24.79% to 2.33 million tons WoW.
Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,332,513 tons of coal for the ...
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- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
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