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Friday, 05 July 13
THE DRY BULK MARKET IS GOING FROM STRENGTH TO STRENGTH - INTERMODAL
The Capesize sector has been one that has gone through a wild rollercoaster of emotions this past decade, ranging from the exuberance witnessed during the boom years of the shipping ''supercycle'' down to the dreadful doldrums during the first half of this year were fixtures were reported at levels well below OPEX.
It’s also been a sector often closely associated with the Asian Economic Powerhouse, namely China and its seemingly insatiable appetite for development linked raw materials (especially iron ore and coal) which are a gauge to its overall economic development as well as its future prospects.
All this has always held Capes as a bit of a buzzword amongst SnP brokers, while nowadays this has been more so as we have seen an impressive array of recent SnP transactions (mainly second hand but also a significant number of NBs) during the first six months of 2013.
Main interest has been for vessels built between 1997 and 2004 (9-16 years of age), partly due to their relatively lower values compared to what was seen two year back, but also due to the ''enhanced'' prospects brought about the occasional Chinese replenishing of stock-piles (of the most recent have been during the final quarter of 2012 and another which is currently underway).
The order book as it stands today is at levels less daunting than other sectors such as panamaxes, with around 37.45 mill dwt scheduled to be added to the current capacity of 274 mill dwt till 2016. That is equivalent to 14% of the current fleet compared to an order book-to-fleet ratio of 22% seen for Panamaxes.
In terms of numbers, there are a further 80 capes scheduled for delivery within the rest of 2013, 74 set or next year, another 29 or 2015 and beyond.
Norwegian shipping magnate Fredriksen was one of the first to signal the start of the most recent drive or new orders, while his most recently reported order for 2 X 205k dwt VLOC at Bohai shows a clear vote of confidence as to the prospects of the sector. Some claim that the recent rally in the freight market which caused rates to surge from the depths of US$ 6,000/day that they had been seeing on average this year to climb to the staggering level of US$ 14,866/day which is only a breath away from the psychological barrier of US$ 15,000/day.
It is important to point out that capes started 2012 at approximately US$ 16-18k per day, thereafter plunged down to between US$ 6-4 k per day till Sept/Oct where they staged a recovery and peaked once again at US$ 18,388/day by end Oct where after they nosedived back down to an average of US$ 6k per day with small variations till May 2013 when the most recent rally in freight rates began.
In conclusion and having as a backdrop all the above mentioned regarding more balanced growth and temporarily improvement in the freight market, we have had the following capes changing hand the last month;
the “Mineral Sines” (172kdwt blt 2002 Daewoo) rgn US$ 19.80 mill to a joint venture between Italians and major commodity traders/charterers,
the “Atlantic Princess” (180k dwt blt 2003 Imabari) rgn US$ 20.3 mill with SS/DD due to Greeks
the slightly older “Star Fortune” (170k dwt blt 1999 IHI) rgn US$ 15 mill to Chinese and down to the much older “Noni M” (183k dwt blt 1995 Kawasaki) rgn US$ 10.5 mill to HK Buyers.
Chartering
The Dry Bulk market is going from strength to strength, with the BDI now “flirting” with the 1,200 points level. The rally in the Capesize segment is still the main driver behind the positive sentiment that has boosted the market, providing a very strong rate reversal, one that most market players expected to take place a bit later in the year.
The Capesize market has had an excellent run throughout the month of June. With charterers getting back in action and at the same time disruptions taking place in Brazilian ports, ones which have only recently started easing a bit, rates for Capes have kept firming this past week, mainly boosted by activity in the 'Atlantic basin where the average rate has now surpassed the $ 15,000/day level, more than doubling since the beginning of the month of June.
Activity in the Atlantic still remains very supportive for Panamax rates, with shorter tonnage lists in N.Continent, boosting rates for another week, while ex-ECSA cargoes increasing further activity in the area. At the same time things in the Pacific remain a bit flattish but underlined by improved sentiment overall.
Rates for Supras and Handies have also firmed this week, with cargoes ex-ECSA boosting activity for both segments. The USG area keeps witnessing very good levels of fixtures for Supras, while the Pacific basin still provides most of the upside momentum for Handies.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure:
For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
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Monday, 15 July 13
INDO COAL SWAPS ARE STRUGGLING FOR RIGHT DIRECTION
COALspot.com – Indo coal swaps are struggling to find the right direction. Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average August 2013 d ...
Friday, 12 July 13
U.S. PRODUCED 18.40 MMST COAL WEEK ENDED 6 JULY 2013
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 18.40 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 11 July 13
PANAMAX: PACIFIC ROUND PAY AROUND $6,500/D; ATLANTIC ROUND VOYAGE PAY AROUND US$ 10,000/D - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Feast market is quiet, July date cargoes remain unfixed as there is a gap between what owners aiming and charterers willing to pay. There ...
Wednesday, 10 July 13
DRY BULK MARKET IS STILL STRUGGLING TO SURVIVE - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com : With the first half of the year now behind us and, as expected, most shipping segments in the dry bulk market are struggling to survi ...
Tuesday, 09 July 13
COAL PRICE REMAINS SLUGGISH - TRIMEGAH
COALspot.com - Newcastle coal price has reached US$ 76.30/ton (-15.9% YTD), bringing YTD’13 average to stand at US$ 87.90/ton, 6.80% lower tha ...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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