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Sunday, 23 June 13
SHIP PRICES NOT FOLLOWING FREIGHT MARKET FUNDAMENTALS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Although it's been the case in many occasions in the past, it appears that ship prices haven't been quite following freight market fundamentals, in terms of future prospects. According to the latest report from shipbroker Intermodal, over the past couple of months we have seen a drastic decoupling of the SnP markets from the reality of the freight markets. "This slowly developing two-tier structure is nothing new, however the widening gap between the two has recently been of much concern to most market players. But why is this gap developing and more crucially, is it sustainable?", wondered Intermodal's Research Analyst, Mr. George Lazaridis.
Attempting to explain this odd situation, he notes that "in the past any widening gap was more difficult to sustain as the fewer amount of asset players in the market left for a market environment with considerably less speculation. During the 2000’s boom this all changed rapidly as the financial markets started to heavily influence the way shipping people made investment decisions. The world of derivatives and complex financial instruments entered our world and had a profound effect, shifting our perspective of the ship itself. It no longer has the image of an industrial machine for transportation, but rather an exchangeable commodity that through time will fluctuate wildly in value. Fast forwarding to where we are today it seems that a part of that legacy has caused the creation of a more forward looking investor who is able to see the benefits of acting in a “bad market” in the hope that he has read the market correctly and that through the life of his investment the average return will be sufficiently lucrative", he said in the weekly report.
Lazaridis went on by noting that "looking at some of the latest deals that we have seen, is there any evidence that these have been done through valid analysis of the current market fundamentals or is it just wildly speculative? The answer to this is that we don’t know. With the market fluctuating in such a volatile way and so unpredictable at times, it seems to be that each investor has different beliefs as to where the market will be over the next couple of months. Its majority rule here and as the lack in serious sellers has kept buyers on their toes, prices have inevitably gone up as each interested buyer outbids the other in order to secure one of the few new sales candidates circulating the market", he said.
According to the analyst, "the nature of all these buyers has been the main driver of the recent price trends. Most upscale European buyers that would typically look at very modern units had been fairly inactive during most of 2012. Their sudden interest created a flurry of activity and over the past 5 months pushed prices up by between 15-20% for vessels of less than 10 years old across most size segments. Panamaxes and Supramaxes have been the ones drawing the most attention and as such have shown the biggest rise in prices", Lazaridis said.
Concluding his argument, he pointed out that "going back to the point of decoupling markets, freight rates have followed a wildly different course. Spot Rates are currently trending at considerably lower than the average seen during 2012 (in the case of Panamaxes that’s around 3% lower) and we haven’t even gone through the summer lull period yet.
FFA’s are also supporting this point further, with expectation for forward rates being soft for a considerable period into the future, although there has been a small upward correction over the past weeks. Even in the case where one would believe of an improving market within 2014 and 2015, there seems to be no reasonable basis for paying an extra premium this early in the cycle and in effect also having to suffer through several months of poor rates, while even the possibility for a recovery being so fragile and there is a constant overshadowing threat that further new ordering could take place and once again engulf the market with excess tonnage. Bets are being placed but I’m not sure that these current premiums will be sustained throughout 2013. As things hold in certain markets such as that of modern panamaxes, it seems to be a better option to sit on the sidelines and act coy in hope that the flock of current buyers will take their pickings and leave the markets once again to drop back down to levels that make more business sense", he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 09 May 13
THE WORLD LARGEST POWER PLANT COAL EXPORTER SHIPPED 36 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN MARCH
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world largest multi grade coal exporter has shipped 36.165* million tons of coal in March 2013.
Ac ...
Thursday, 09 May 13
DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS KEEP BUILDING NEW VESSELS ON THE BACK OF LOWER PRICES AND IMPROVED MARKET PROSPECTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Despite the doom and gloom that the dry bulk market has experienced during the past couple of years and especially during 2012, ship owners have inc ...
Thursday, 09 May 13
HANDY : RBCT ROUNDS FIXED AT USD 8000 DOP ECI - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The atlantic market started to pick up with new orders. The USG-Feast was at USD 20k and Black sea-feast was at USD 12k. The pacific mkt rema ...
Wednesday, 08 May 13
PANAMAX VESSELS PROVE TO BE "STARS OF THE MONTH" FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET DURING APRIL - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
They have taken a beating on various occasions during the past few years of the dry bulk market's crisis, but the fact remains, that despite the he ...
Tuesday, 07 May 13
NEWCASTLE PORT'S COAL EXPORTS HOLD STEADY WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,975,160 tons of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 6 May 2013, Newcastl ...
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Planning Commission, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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