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Sunday, 23 June 13
SHIP PRICES NOT FOLLOWING FREIGHT MARKET FUNDAMENTALS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Although it's been the case in many occasions in the past, it appears that ship prices haven't been quite following freight market fundamentals, in terms of future prospects. According to the latest report from shipbroker Intermodal, over the past couple of months we have seen a drastic decoupling of the SnP markets from the reality of the freight markets. "This slowly developing two-tier structure is nothing new, however the widening gap between the two has recently been of much concern to most market players. But why is this gap developing and more crucially, is it sustainable?", wondered Intermodal's Research Analyst, Mr. George Lazaridis.
Attempting to explain this odd situation, he notes that "in the past any widening gap was more difficult to sustain as the fewer amount of asset players in the market left for a market environment with considerably less speculation. During the 2000’s boom this all changed rapidly as the financial markets started to heavily influence the way shipping people made investment decisions. The world of derivatives and complex financial instruments entered our world and had a profound effect, shifting our perspective of the ship itself. It no longer has the image of an industrial machine for transportation, but rather an exchangeable commodity that through time will fluctuate wildly in value. Fast forwarding to where we are today it seems that a part of that legacy has caused the creation of a more forward looking investor who is able to see the benefits of acting in a “bad market” in the hope that he has read the market correctly and that through the life of his investment the average return will be sufficiently lucrative", he said in the weekly report.
Lazaridis went on by noting that "looking at some of the latest deals that we have seen, is there any evidence that these have been done through valid analysis of the current market fundamentals or is it just wildly speculative? The answer to this is that we don’t know. With the market fluctuating in such a volatile way and so unpredictable at times, it seems to be that each investor has different beliefs as to where the market will be over the next couple of months. Its majority rule here and as the lack in serious sellers has kept buyers on their toes, prices have inevitably gone up as each interested buyer outbids the other in order to secure one of the few new sales candidates circulating the market", he said.
According to the analyst, "the nature of all these buyers has been the main driver of the recent price trends. Most upscale European buyers that would typically look at very modern units had been fairly inactive during most of 2012. Their sudden interest created a flurry of activity and over the past 5 months pushed prices up by between 15-20% for vessels of less than 10 years old across most size segments. Panamaxes and Supramaxes have been the ones drawing the most attention and as such have shown the biggest rise in prices", Lazaridis said.
Concluding his argument, he pointed out that "going back to the point of decoupling markets, freight rates have followed a wildly different course. Spot Rates are currently trending at considerably lower than the average seen during 2012 (in the case of Panamaxes that’s around 3% lower) and we haven’t even gone through the summer lull period yet.
FFA’s are also supporting this point further, with expectation for forward rates being soft for a considerable period into the future, although there has been a small upward correction over the past weeks. Even in the case where one would believe of an improving market within 2014 and 2015, there seems to be no reasonable basis for paying an extra premium this early in the cycle and in effect also having to suffer through several months of poor rates, while even the possibility for a recovery being so fragile and there is a constant overshadowing threat that further new ordering could take place and once again engulf the market with excess tonnage. Bets are being placed but I’m not sure that these current premiums will be sustained throughout 2013. As things hold in certain markets such as that of modern panamaxes, it seems to be a better option to sit on the sidelines and act coy in hope that the flock of current buyers will take their pickings and leave the markets once again to drop back down to levels that make more business sense", he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 24 May 13
OPG POWER VENTURES OF INDIA LOOKING FOR 210,000 MT OF 4,200 GAR INDONESIAN THERMAL COAL
COALspot.com - OPG Power Ventures Plc (OPG) is an AIM listed (London Stock Exchange) and fast growing developer and operator of power plants in Indi ...
Thursday, 23 May 13
HANDY : THE ATLANTIC MARKET REMAINS UNCHANGED - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The Atlantic market remains unchanged. USG-Feast rates were around USD 19k. Little change from last week in the Pacific, fewer stems and tonn ...
Thursday, 23 May 13
COLOMBIA SHIPPED 11.74 MILLION TONS OF THERMAL COAL IN Q1
COALspot.om - Colombia produced about 18,388,972.94 mt of coal for the first quarter of 2013.
Q1' 2013 coal production was around 21.42 p ...
Wednesday, 22 May 13
COKAL SIGNS JV WITH MDM, FOR BARITO RIVER BARGING
COALspot.com - Cokal Limited (ASX: CKA) has announced that it has entered into a 50:50 Joint Venture (JV) with Meratus Advance Maritime (MDM) one of ...
Tuesday, 21 May 13
NEWCASTLE PORT COAL SHIPMENTS SEEN FALLING WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,205,024 tons of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 20 May 2013, Newcast ...
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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