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Wednesday, 10 April 13
DRY BULK FREIGHT RATES SEEN MOSTLY STABLE IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS WORLDWIDE
 In its latest report, BIMCO forecast that for the coming six weeks, Capesize time charter average rates will remain subdued around $4,500-8,500 per day. The Panamax market is expected to hold on to recent gains and remain in the USD 5,000 – 10,000 per day range. In the Supramax market, BIMCO sees freight rates in the USD 7,000 – 11,000 per day, while Handysize rates are predicted to stay in the USD 6,500 – 9,000 interval on a daily basis.
According to the report, "the delivery pace is expected to come down as close to 25% of all the tonnage. BIMCO expects to see launched in 2013, has already been delivered during the first 11 weeks (20%) of the year. Should more than the expected amount of tonnage be built this will be a result of reduced slippage perhaps due to shipyard in dire need for cash paid down upon delivery. This is seen as plausible scenario but not our base-case.
For mysterious reasons the newbuilding prices for dry bulk tonnage seems to have flatten out in the course of the past 4-5 months whereas prices for tanker tonnage still seems to fade. This trend regarding dry bulk tonnage has been most significant for Capesize tonnage. This may have spurred some owners to “fish at the bottom of the market”, given some reason behind the recent Capesize order rush. From the demand side BIMCO expects “more of the same”, which is solid volumes in grains and coal that will eventually lift freight rates beyond the level of 2012. With Capesize as the exception, strong volumes seem to support higher rates in the three smaller vessel segments – not sentiments" BIMCO said.
In the supply side, the first 11 weeks of the year have seen the delivery of 17 million dwt, offset by 6 million dwt being recycled. "It took just 7½ weeks to deliver the same amount last year, but the slower delivery pace is not impacting the fundamental balance between tonnage demand and vessel supply quite yet. And the reason for this? It’s simple: following four years in a row with higher inflow of tonnage capacity outpacing demand, it does take a bit more than just a few months of market improvements to affect earnings significantly. But we are now for the first time in five years moving in the right direction.
Dry bulk demolition activity hasn’t been concentrated on any particular sub-segment. Just like the previous years, the average vessel sold for demolition was of 59,000 DWT. In 2013, the age has so far been 27 years which is about one year younger than last year. Bangladesh has taken the lion’s share of this, buying 2 million DWT paying around USD 420 per ltd,
which is 5% more than offered for the average dry bulk vessel sold for recycling", BIMCO said.
It added that "on the contracting side, CRSL records new contracts for 76 vessels of a total capacity of 7.5 million DWT. For some reason 30 Capesize vessels are amongst the new orders, as if the Capesize fleet was in desperate need for new tonnage. In 2012 a total of 31 new Capesize orders were placed. Bear in mind that the Capesize fleet has double during the past 5½ years – from 756 to 1,513 today, prior to that the doubling time for a much smaller fleet was 13½ years. Fortunately the launches of all these new orders are not expected before 2015. Of the recent Capesize orders, 75 percent have landed at Chinese yards and believed to be some kind of an ECO-design, with a still unknown improved fuel-efficiency. Taking some of the side-orders have been the 2012 Japanese merger of Universal Shipbuilding and IHIMU into Japan Marine United, which today holds the second largest order book amongst the Japanese yard groups - second only to Oshima Shipbuilding Co." it noted.
Meanwhile, in the demand-side of things, "the first couple of months have been challenging for all vessel sizes, but what was expected to become an extraordinary difficult year for Panamax owners has so far proven to be a somewhat positive surprise. Time charter equivalent earnings have crossed the thin red line and moved into positive territory beyond the point of just covering OPEX. Driven strongly by the South American grain season, the strong demand for tonnage has led to increased earnings as well as congestion around the key grain exporting ports in Argentina and Brazil. On the overall level Algeria, Iran and South Korea currently increase imports, whereas top importer, Egypt, slashed its demand due to tightening FOREX reserves and higher focus on domestic supplies.
Supramax earnings have also been lifted as a result of increased South American demand, whereas even a large demand for the iron ore and coal transporting sea-stallions, Capesizes have not been enough to support sustainable rates due to a massive supply of vessels in this segment. Earnings for Capesize vessels averaged last year USD 7,680 per day; at the poor year-to-date earnings of at USD 6,300 per day, the Capes continue to be impacted by the overhang of tonnage.
As the Chinese imports of coal reach record-high volumes, the question for ship-owners is: From where the bulk of the increased imports will be transported from? Nearby Indonesia has historically been the main trading partner with Australia coming in second.
In the last three months, the balance has tipped in favour of Australia, which is good news for the shipping industry, as Australian coal has to travel 50% longer. As a consequence, the tonne mile demand of Australian exports to China was almost double that of Indonesia’s in January and February 2013. Australia and Indonesia made up 61% of the seaborne tonne miles demand for coal into China in 2012. The low demand in February is primarily due to the Golden week.
In 2012, China imported 53.7 million tons of coking coal, and 180.8 million tons of thermal coal, making thermal coal the main contributor to seaborne import demand of coal into China. As the growth rates for the two types of coal were similar in 2012, the main growth factor came from the demand for increased power generation. Affecting the exports from Australia, the world’s largest dry bulk commodity exporter, this year has been weather-related issues around iron ore export ports, most of all Port Hedland, as well as the coal ports in the Eastern parts of Australia. Due to cyclone and heavy rain, importers have to some extent found themselves in need of seeking alternatives for the shortfall of exports from Australia. Unless importing steel mills and traders decide to run down stocks the adverse weather conditions can prove to be one of the supporting factors behind the climb in March earnings alongside the development in coal demand export origins" BIMCO concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 07 May 13
NEWCASTLE PORT'S COAL EXPORTS HOLD STEADY WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,975,160 tons of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 6 May 2013, Newcastl ...
Monday, 06 May 13
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FALLS CONTINUE
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government’s declared coal bench mark price has lost $ 3.23 / MT in May 2013.
The monthly coal pr ...
Sunday, 05 May 13
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL - MIXED TREND; API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL - POSITIVE TREND
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average June 2013 delivery has gained 0.28 percent and API 8 CFR South China Coal shipment&nb ...
Saturday, 04 May 13
INDONESIA TO INDIA PANAMAX FREIGHT : FLAT TO SOFT - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - The demand for iron ore picked up and its pushed up the cape size index by 7.86 pct. Cape index closed at 1,344 points. The BDI ...
Friday, 03 May 13
US PRODUCED 17.9 MILLION SHORT TONS (MMST) OF COAL IN A WEEK
COALspot.com - U.S. produced totaled approximately 17.9 million short tons (mmst) in a week (For the week ended April 27, 2013), EIA said in its lat ...
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- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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