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Wednesday, 20 February 13
BAKRIE GROUP LOOKS TO HAVE A CLEAR UPPER HAND - LUCKY ARIESANDI, CFA
The Bakrie-Rothschild saga is entering its final stage, with Bumi Plc (BUMI LN)’s holders to convene on 21 Feb at 11am GMT to vote on Nat Rothschild’s proposal to oust the majority of Bumi Plc’s current Board of Directors and replace them with his appointees. The proposal needs a simple majority to pass, said Lucky Ariesandi, CFA, an analyst from PT Kim Eng Securities.
Bakrie group looks to have a clear upper hand
Lucky Ariesandi further said in his analysis, Bakrie & Borneo (BB) has 30% of the voting rights in Bumi Plc. Bukit Mutiara/Recapital, considered to be related to BB, owned a 13.1% stake in Bumi Plc but divested its shares just before the showdown. The new buyers too, however, look closely related to BB. Harry Tanoe (who bought 1.7% of Bumi Plc) recently acquired Bakrie’s infrastructure business and is reported to be bidding for Bakrie’s 51% stake in Visi Media (VIVA IJ) to further cement his grip on Indonesia’s media business. Avenue Capital (7.6%) has a longstanding cordial relationship with Bakrie, and currently owns an 11.2% stake in Bakrieland (ELTY IJ). Argyle Street Management (4.2%) is the only new buyer without a track record of working with the Bakrie family. All in all, it appears that BB will be able to secure atleast 39-40% of the voting rights in the upcoming Bumi plc’s EGM. Note that the buyers of Recapital’s stake in Bumi Plc can cast their votes if registration is completed 48 hours before the meeting.
Rothschild’s mission impossible
Nat Rothschild, through NR Investment, owns 14.8% of the voting rights in Bumi Plc, based on the latest filings provided by Bloomberg. Aside from his own shares, NR claims to have the support of Abu Dhabi Investment (4.2%), Schroder (3.5%), and Standard Life (2.1%). This takes his tally to around 25% of the voting rights. Other large shareholders have not publicly announced how they would cast their vote, including Blackrock (6.2%), St James Master Fund (5.6%), and Taube Hodson (4.2%). We think it is highly unlikely NR can muster enough support to advance his proposal, said Lucky Ariesandi.
What will happen if Rothschild wins the fight?
He further said, OJK, Indonesia’s financial services authority, has announced that it might consider a radical change in the BoD of Bumi Plc a change of ownership, hence triggering a mandatory general offer (GO) for Berau Coal (BRAU IJ). As NR is not actually offering to buy Berau Coal, the general offer will be done at a Berau’s average trading price 90 days prior to the announcement of the takeover. This would imply a minimum GO price of IDR220/share. The authority might even require a GO for Bumi Resources (BUMI IJ) although it remains a grey area until now as Bumi Plc controls less than 50% stake in BUMI IJ. If this should happen, the GO price for BUMI IJ should be around IDR650/share.
What will happen if BB wins the fight?
By winning, which translates into all of NR’s proposals failing to obtain majority votes, the board can continue with the separation of the Bakrie Group from Bumi Plc through a share swap of BB’s 23.8% ownership in Bumi Plc (with 30% voting interest) with Bumi Plc’s 10.3% stake in BUMI IJ, plus an additional USD278m in cash payments for Bumi Plc’s remaining 18.9% stake in BUMI IJ. This would not actually be a complete separation, as BB would still own a 25.1% stake in Bumi Plc after the share swap, via suspended voting shares. The future of BB’s remaining investment in the suspended voting shares remains unclear at this stage. But if the share swap goes through as planned, the suspended voting shares should become ordinary voting shares, as the voting interest of the group will fall to less than 30%, according to Lucky Ariesandi.
What is the value assigned to BUMI IJ and BRAU IJ in Bakrie’s proposal?
The value of BUMI IJ’s takeover by BB depends on the share price of Bumi Plc. Using Monday’s closing price of GBP 0.394 and Monday’s exchange rates of IDR 14,980/GBP and IDR 9,685/USD, BUMI IJ would be valued at IDR 1,002/share for the purposes of the takeover. Meanwhile, the proposal to take over 84.7% of Berau for USD 946m translates into an offer of IDR 310/share.
By: Lucky Ariesandi, CFA (this report is subject to KimEng’s disclaimer clause)
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Thursday, 21 February 13
SPRING COAL PROCUREMENT 2013 IS ABOUT TO TAKE PLACE
In 2012, “Steady Growth” had set the keynote for China’s economic development. Guided by the principle of progressing steadily, do ...
Tuesday, 19 February 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 38.65 PERCENT LESS COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 1,820,559 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 18 February 2013, Newc ...
Monday, 18 February 13
78.75 MILLION TONS OF COAL RESERVES ARE NEWLY PROVEN IN WUGANG HUNAN PROVINCE
COALspot.com - Recently, Wugang City, known as the CHINA hundred key coal producing cities, achieved new breakthroughs in coal exploration: deep coa ...
Sunday, 17 February 13
STEEL DEMAND WILL HELP TO PUSH UP FREIGHT RATES - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This freight market has been fairly steady week ended 15 February 2013.
The BDI was slightly up by 0.67 pct closing at 753 points ...
Friday, 15 February 13
2ND ANNUAL INDONESIA MINING 2013 CONFERENCE
Bringing Indonesia's Mining Stakeholders Together Towards Improving Mining Investment Climate & Operations
Following the success of th ...
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
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