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Thursday, 03 January 13
DRY BULK DEMAND TO KEEP RISING IN 2013, DRY BULK SHIP PRICES TO KEEP FALLING SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In a recent report on the future of the shipping markets, DVB bank said that dry bulk demand is expected to keep on growing in the coming years, mainly as a result of continued grwoth in emerging economies.According to the bank's analysis, dry bulk demand is expected to conclude 2012 with a rise of 4.1%, while the estimates for 2013 are looking for a further rise of 7.2%. Countries like India and China are expected to play a major role towards this development, with China's appetite for raw materials like iron ore and coal being among the main reasons for this. As a result of this codependence, should China's economy experience any slowdown, these projections of dry bulk demand growth will be impacted negatively.
In terms of ship values, DVB said that 2012 would close with average newbuilding prices posting a significant reduction over 2011 prices, while second hand values would post an even sharper decline. According to the analysis, vessels over 15 years old are the most vulnerable in terms of price reductions, since more and more newbuildings are entering the global fleet. Additionally, new regulations, like EEDI, will add to the pressure faced by older tonnage, as charterers will use these to bring down rates and consequently asset values, resulting in a two or even a multi-tiered market. As a result, the bank's analysts indicated that they don't expect the trend of falling newbuilding prices to end before 2014 kicks in, with huge oversupply still a dominating force in the dry bulk market.
As a result of the huge orderbook, freight rates are expected to remain under pressure throughout 2013. exactly how much will this pressure be, will depend on the way that the orderbook and deliveries progress during the year. In the worst case senario, rates could once again bottom out by the end of 2014, should the world economy be stabilised and avoid slipping into yet another period of recession. DVB advised shipowners to reduce contracting and increase scrapping activity, if they wish to keep earnings above operating expenses.
After all, the level of growth of the dry bulk fleet has been stellar, with record breaking newbuilding deliveries for every year since the start of 2009. According to the analysis, since October of 2011, the dry bulk fleet has increased by an impressive 75 million dwt or 758 vessels, representing a growth rate of 13%. Today, the orderbook stands at 130 million dwt, equating to about 20% of current fleet. "The orderbook for all Capesize vessels is large with the fleet relatively young having an average age about 7 years. Merely 3.5% of the Capesize fleet is over 25 years of age. The VLBC and ULBC fleets are expanding rapidly, mainly due to the Vale vessels being delivered. These vessels entering the fleet will undoubtedly have a huge negative impact on all Large Cape asset values as well as T/C rates and will impact earnings of other Sub-Sectors as well" said DVB in its report.
Meanwhile, the room for limiting supply through more scrapping activity has been steadily getting smaller and smaller. Scrapping was moderate in 2009 with 256 vessels equating to 10.9 million dwt scrapped, after negligible scrapping during 2007 and 2008. In 2010, scrapping slowed down again as the markets improved slightly. Only 121 vessels amounting to 5.3 million dwt were sold for demolition. Since the start of 2011, scrapping activity has picked up significantly, with 385 vessels totalling 23.3 million dwt were sent to the breakers. In 2012, a further 406 vessels of 25.9 million dwt had already been decommissioned and broken apart, a couple of months before the year ended, meaning that a new record had been set. While until 2010, scrapping was mainly concentrated in the Handysize Sub-Sector, scrapping has been more uniform across Sub-Sectors since 2011. "With market fundamentals remaining weak due to demand-supply imbalance, high rate of scrapping is required to offset the deliveries seen in the past four years as well as the current orderbook" DVB concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 24 December 12
CONSTITUTIONAL COURT DECISION MAY FURTHER DELAY THE ISSUANCE OF NEW MINING BUSINESS LICENCES - TJEN SHE SIUNG
COALspot.com - In November 2012 the Constitutional Court of Indonesia issued a decision on amendments to certain provisions under the Mining Law No. ...
Monday, 24 December 12
BUNKER PRICES TO CONTINUE RISING, ALBEIT IN A SLOWER MODE, DURING THE NEXT FEW YEARS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEW
In a recent report, US-based consulting firm Mcquilling Services attempted to forecast the course of bunker prices during the next few years, as thi ...
Sunday, 23 December 12
Q4' 2013 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP, US$ 3.40 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q1' 2013 PRICE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery gained 1.94 percent M-M and WoW by 1.57percent but lost 0.35 ...
Saturday, 22 December 12
SECOND HAND VESSELS ENJOY HIGH DEMAND AS PRICES ARE ATTRACTIVE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the fact that the year is closing to its end, activity in the second hand vessel market has been more than high. Ship owners are looking to ...
Saturday, 22 December 12
FALL IN CAPE AND PANAMAX RATES DRAG BDI INDEX - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market further softened this week closing at 700 points (down by 10.71 pct). The cape index continued to fall and w ...
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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