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Thursday, 03 January 13
DRY BULK DEMAND TO KEEP RISING IN 2013, DRY BULK SHIP PRICES TO KEEP FALLING SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In a recent report on the future of the shipping markets, DVB bank said that dry bulk demand is expected to keep on growing in the coming years, mainly as a result of continued grwoth in emerging economies.According to the bank's analysis, dry bulk demand is expected to conclude 2012 with a rise of 4.1%, while the estimates for 2013 are looking for a further rise of 7.2%. Countries like India and China are expected to play a major role towards this development, with China's appetite for raw materials like iron ore and coal being among the main reasons for this. As a result of this codependence, should China's economy experience any slowdown, these projections of dry bulk demand growth will be impacted negatively.
In terms of ship values, DVB said that 2012 would close with average newbuilding prices posting a significant reduction over 2011 prices, while second hand values would post an even sharper decline. According to the analysis, vessels over 15 years old are the most vulnerable in terms of price reductions, since more and more newbuildings are entering the global fleet. Additionally, new regulations, like EEDI, will add to the pressure faced by older tonnage, as charterers will use these to bring down rates and consequently asset values, resulting in a two or even a multi-tiered market. As a result, the bank's analysts indicated that they don't expect the trend of falling newbuilding prices to end before 2014 kicks in, with huge oversupply still a dominating force in the dry bulk market.
As a result of the huge orderbook, freight rates are expected to remain under pressure throughout 2013. exactly how much will this pressure be, will depend on the way that the orderbook and deliveries progress during the year. In the worst case senario, rates could once again bottom out by the end of 2014, should the world economy be stabilised and avoid slipping into yet another period of recession. DVB advised shipowners to reduce contracting and increase scrapping activity, if they wish to keep earnings above operating expenses.
After all, the level of growth of the dry bulk fleet has been stellar, with record breaking newbuilding deliveries for every year since the start of 2009. According to the analysis, since October of 2011, the dry bulk fleet has increased by an impressive 75 million dwt or 758 vessels, representing a growth rate of 13%. Today, the orderbook stands at 130 million dwt, equating to about 20% of current fleet. "The orderbook for all Capesize vessels is large with the fleet relatively young having an average age about 7 years. Merely 3.5% of the Capesize fleet is over 25 years of age. The VLBC and ULBC fleets are expanding rapidly, mainly due to the Vale vessels being delivered. These vessels entering the fleet will undoubtedly have a huge negative impact on all Large Cape asset values as well as T/C rates and will impact earnings of other Sub-Sectors as well" said DVB in its report.
Meanwhile, the room for limiting supply through more scrapping activity has been steadily getting smaller and smaller. Scrapping was moderate in 2009 with 256 vessels equating to 10.9 million dwt scrapped, after negligible scrapping during 2007 and 2008. In 2010, scrapping slowed down again as the markets improved slightly. Only 121 vessels amounting to 5.3 million dwt were sold for demolition. Since the start of 2011, scrapping activity has picked up significantly, with 385 vessels totalling 23.3 million dwt were sent to the breakers. In 2012, a further 406 vessels of 25.9 million dwt had already been decommissioned and broken apart, a couple of months before the year ended, meaning that a new record had been set. While until 2010, scrapping was mainly concentrated in the Handysize Sub-Sector, scrapping has been more uniform across Sub-Sectors since 2011. "With market fundamentals remaining weak due to demand-supply imbalance, high rate of scrapping is required to offset the deliveries seen in the past four years as well as the current orderbook" DVB concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 20 January 13
Q1 & Q4 SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: FIRM
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) and CFR South China coal shipment for average Q1’ 2013 delivery have gained 0.81percent and ...
Sunday, 20 January 13
S7 & S8 ROUTE FREIGHT TREND IS EXPECTED TO BE FLAT TO SOFT THIS WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market was fairly steady with all the indices BDI up by 9.21 pct closing at 837 points. The Cape index was also sharply u ...
Friday, 18 January 13
NEWLEAD HOLDINGS LTD. TO ACQUIRE TWO COAL PROPERTIES WITH ESTIMATED COAL RESERVES OF 18.6 MMT & 143.1 MMT
NewLead Holdings Ltd. Announces Signing Agreement to Acquire Properties with Estimated Coal Reserves of 18.6 Million Tons; Signing Agreement to Acqu ...
Friday, 18 January 13
DRY BULK MARKET ON THE RISE, ON STRONG DEMAND FOR CAPESIZE VESSELS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has continued its climbing trend yesterday, as the industry's benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was up by 39 points to 820. ...
Friday, 18 January 13
CAPESIZE : SIGNALS ARE MIXED BUT THE OVERALL TENDENCY IS POSITIVE - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic market remained stable with USG-Feast fixed around USD 17k, according to fearnleys’s weekly report.
Continent / Medite ...
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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