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Thursday, 03 January 13
DRY BULK DEMAND TO KEEP RISING IN 2013, DRY BULK SHIP PRICES TO KEEP FALLING SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In a recent report on the future of the shipping markets, DVB bank said that dry bulk demand is expected to keep on growing in the coming years, mainly as a result of continued grwoth in emerging economies.According to the bank's analysis, dry bulk demand is expected to conclude 2012 with a rise of 4.1%, while the estimates for 2013 are looking for a further rise of 7.2%. Countries like India and China are expected to play a major role towards this development, with China's appetite for raw materials like iron ore and coal being among the main reasons for this. As a result of this codependence, should China's economy experience any slowdown, these projections of dry bulk demand growth will be impacted negatively.
In terms of ship values, DVB said that 2012 would close with average newbuilding prices posting a significant reduction over 2011 prices, while second hand values would post an even sharper decline. According to the analysis, vessels over 15 years old are the most vulnerable in terms of price reductions, since more and more newbuildings are entering the global fleet. Additionally, new regulations, like EEDI, will add to the pressure faced by older tonnage, as charterers will use these to bring down rates and consequently asset values, resulting in a two or even a multi-tiered market. As a result, the bank's analysts indicated that they don't expect the trend of falling newbuilding prices to end before 2014 kicks in, with huge oversupply still a dominating force in the dry bulk market.
As a result of the huge orderbook, freight rates are expected to remain under pressure throughout 2013. exactly how much will this pressure be, will depend on the way that the orderbook and deliveries progress during the year. In the worst case senario, rates could once again bottom out by the end of 2014, should the world economy be stabilised and avoid slipping into yet another period of recession. DVB advised shipowners to reduce contracting and increase scrapping activity, if they wish to keep earnings above operating expenses.
After all, the level of growth of the dry bulk fleet has been stellar, with record breaking newbuilding deliveries for every year since the start of 2009. According to the analysis, since October of 2011, the dry bulk fleet has increased by an impressive 75 million dwt or 758 vessels, representing a growth rate of 13%. Today, the orderbook stands at 130 million dwt, equating to about 20% of current fleet. "The orderbook for all Capesize vessels is large with the fleet relatively young having an average age about 7 years. Merely 3.5% of the Capesize fleet is over 25 years of age. The VLBC and ULBC fleets are expanding rapidly, mainly due to the Vale vessels being delivered. These vessels entering the fleet will undoubtedly have a huge negative impact on all Large Cape asset values as well as T/C rates and will impact earnings of other Sub-Sectors as well" said DVB in its report.
Meanwhile, the room for limiting supply through more scrapping activity has been steadily getting smaller and smaller. Scrapping was moderate in 2009 with 256 vessels equating to 10.9 million dwt scrapped, after negligible scrapping during 2007 and 2008. In 2010, scrapping slowed down again as the markets improved slightly. Only 121 vessels amounting to 5.3 million dwt were sold for demolition. Since the start of 2011, scrapping activity has picked up significantly, with 385 vessels totalling 23.3 million dwt were sent to the breakers. In 2012, a further 406 vessels of 25.9 million dwt had already been decommissioned and broken apart, a couple of months before the year ended, meaning that a new record had been set. While until 2010, scrapping was mainly concentrated in the Handysize Sub-Sector, scrapping has been more uniform across Sub-Sectors since 2011. "With market fundamentals remaining weak due to demand-supply imbalance, high rate of scrapping is required to offset the deliveries seen in the past four years as well as the current orderbook" DVB concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 24 January 13
INDO - INDIA NOW AT APS $ 8K + BB USD 90000 - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Atlantic market remains stable as supply of tonnage is still in excess of demand. USG- Far east fixed at $18k and CONT-FEAST at $ 11k. Pa ...
Thursday, 24 January 13
DRY BULK MARKET FALLS ON TROPICAL CYCLONE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been on the downside during the past couple of days, mainly as a result of the tropical storm which forced ports to close do ...
Tuesday, 22 January 13
PORT OF ANTWERP HANDLES 7.0 PERCENT MORE COAL IN 2012 Y-Y
COALspot.com - The port of Antwerp handled 184,134,516 tonnes of freight last year.
This represents a drop of 1.6% compared with 2011, when the v ...
Monday, 21 January 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 10.21 PERCENT LESS COAL W/E 21 JANUARY 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,804,152 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 21 January 2013, Newca ...
Monday, 21 January 13
PANAMAX DRY BULK CARRIERS AND AFRAMAX TANKERS PROVED TO BE THE "WEAPON OF CHOICE" FOR MOST SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
With ship financing getting ever so difficult to procure during the past year or so, ship owners had to get creative in order to persuade banks and ...
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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