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Thursday, 03 January 13
DRY BULK DEMAND TO KEEP RISING IN 2013, DRY BULK SHIP PRICES TO KEEP FALLING SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In a recent report on the future of the shipping markets, DVB bank said that dry bulk demand is expected to keep on growing in the coming years, mainly as a result of continued grwoth in emerging economies.According to the bank's analysis, dry bulk demand is expected to conclude 2012 with a rise of 4.1%, while the estimates for 2013 are looking for a further rise of 7.2%. Countries like India and China are expected to play a major role towards this development, with China's appetite for raw materials like iron ore and coal being among the main reasons for this. As a result of this codependence, should China's economy experience any slowdown, these projections of dry bulk demand growth will be impacted negatively.
In terms of ship values, DVB said that 2012 would close with average newbuilding prices posting a significant reduction over 2011 prices, while second hand values would post an even sharper decline. According to the analysis, vessels over 15 years old are the most vulnerable in terms of price reductions, since more and more newbuildings are entering the global fleet. Additionally, new regulations, like EEDI, will add to the pressure faced by older tonnage, as charterers will use these to bring down rates and consequently asset values, resulting in a two or even a multi-tiered market. As a result, the bank's analysts indicated that they don't expect the trend of falling newbuilding prices to end before 2014 kicks in, with huge oversupply still a dominating force in the dry bulk market.
As a result of the huge orderbook, freight rates are expected to remain under pressure throughout 2013. exactly how much will this pressure be, will depend on the way that the orderbook and deliveries progress during the year. In the worst case senario, rates could once again bottom out by the end of 2014, should the world economy be stabilised and avoid slipping into yet another period of recession. DVB advised shipowners to reduce contracting and increase scrapping activity, if they wish to keep earnings above operating expenses.
After all, the level of growth of the dry bulk fleet has been stellar, with record breaking newbuilding deliveries for every year since the start of 2009. According to the analysis, since October of 2011, the dry bulk fleet has increased by an impressive 75 million dwt or 758 vessels, representing a growth rate of 13%. Today, the orderbook stands at 130 million dwt, equating to about 20% of current fleet. "The orderbook for all Capesize vessels is large with the fleet relatively young having an average age about 7 years. Merely 3.5% of the Capesize fleet is over 25 years of age. The VLBC and ULBC fleets are expanding rapidly, mainly due to the Vale vessels being delivered. These vessels entering the fleet will undoubtedly have a huge negative impact on all Large Cape asset values as well as T/C rates and will impact earnings of other Sub-Sectors as well" said DVB in its report.
Meanwhile, the room for limiting supply through more scrapping activity has been steadily getting smaller and smaller. Scrapping was moderate in 2009 with 256 vessels equating to 10.9 million dwt scrapped, after negligible scrapping during 2007 and 2008. In 2010, scrapping slowed down again as the markets improved slightly. Only 121 vessels amounting to 5.3 million dwt were sold for demolition. Since the start of 2011, scrapping activity has picked up significantly, with 385 vessels totalling 23.3 million dwt were sent to the breakers. In 2012, a further 406 vessels of 25.9 million dwt had already been decommissioned and broken apart, a couple of months before the year ended, meaning that a new record had been set. While until 2010, scrapping was mainly concentrated in the Handysize Sub-Sector, scrapping has been more uniform across Sub-Sectors since 2011. "With market fundamentals remaining weak due to demand-supply imbalance, high rate of scrapping is required to offset the deliveries seen in the past four years as well as the current orderbook" DVB concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 13 January 13
THE FREIGHT MARKET: FAIRLY STEADY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market was fairly steady with all the indices up with maximum gain in the Panamax segment. The BDI was up by 7.65 pct clo ...
Saturday, 12 January 13
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: WEAK
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery has lost 0.32 percent WoW but CFR South China coal ship ...
Saturday, 12 January 13
HIGHER COAL PRICES: SEASONAL EFFECT
COALspot.com : Bahana Securities, one of the leading securities in Indonesia, said in its latest coal outlook that, on US and China&rsquo ...
Friday, 11 January 13
HBA HAS JUMPED BY US$ 5.80 PMT IN JANUARY 2013
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government has declared bench mark price for coal higher than December price. The monthly coal reference price f ...
Thursday, 10 January 13
PANAMAX : SOME GLIMMERS OF HOPE MID WEEK - FEARNLEYS
According to Fearnley’s weekly report, the Atlantic handy market is stable with rates around USD 11k for Cont-Feast and USD 17k bss USG/Feast. ...
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Coal Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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