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Thursday, 03 January 13
DRY BULK DEMAND TO KEEP RISING IN 2013, DRY BULK SHIP PRICES TO KEEP FALLING SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In a recent report on the future of the shipping markets, DVB bank said that dry bulk demand is expected to keep on growing in the coming years, mainly as a result of continued grwoth in emerging economies.According to the bank's analysis, dry bulk demand is expected to conclude 2012 with a rise of 4.1%, while the estimates for 2013 are looking for a further rise of 7.2%. Countries like India and China are expected to play a major role towards this development, with China's appetite for raw materials like iron ore and coal being among the main reasons for this. As a result of this codependence, should China's economy experience any slowdown, these projections of dry bulk demand growth will be impacted negatively.
In terms of ship values, DVB said that 2012 would close with average newbuilding prices posting a significant reduction over 2011 prices, while second hand values would post an even sharper decline. According to the analysis, vessels over 15 years old are the most vulnerable in terms of price reductions, since more and more newbuildings are entering the global fleet. Additionally, new regulations, like EEDI, will add to the pressure faced by older tonnage, as charterers will use these to bring down rates and consequently asset values, resulting in a two or even a multi-tiered market. As a result, the bank's analysts indicated that they don't expect the trend of falling newbuilding prices to end before 2014 kicks in, with huge oversupply still a dominating force in the dry bulk market.
As a result of the huge orderbook, freight rates are expected to remain under pressure throughout 2013. exactly how much will this pressure be, will depend on the way that the orderbook and deliveries progress during the year. In the worst case senario, rates could once again bottom out by the end of 2014, should the world economy be stabilised and avoid slipping into yet another period of recession. DVB advised shipowners to reduce contracting and increase scrapping activity, if they wish to keep earnings above operating expenses.
After all, the level of growth of the dry bulk fleet has been stellar, with record breaking newbuilding deliveries for every year since the start of 2009. According to the analysis, since October of 2011, the dry bulk fleet has increased by an impressive 75 million dwt or 758 vessels, representing a growth rate of 13%. Today, the orderbook stands at 130 million dwt, equating to about 20% of current fleet. "The orderbook for all Capesize vessels is large with the fleet relatively young having an average age about 7 years. Merely 3.5% of the Capesize fleet is over 25 years of age. The VLBC and ULBC fleets are expanding rapidly, mainly due to the Vale vessels being delivered. These vessels entering the fleet will undoubtedly have a huge negative impact on all Large Cape asset values as well as T/C rates and will impact earnings of other Sub-Sectors as well" said DVB in its report.
Meanwhile, the room for limiting supply through more scrapping activity has been steadily getting smaller and smaller. Scrapping was moderate in 2009 with 256 vessels equating to 10.9 million dwt scrapped, after negligible scrapping during 2007 and 2008. In 2010, scrapping slowed down again as the markets improved slightly. Only 121 vessels amounting to 5.3 million dwt were sold for demolition. Since the start of 2011, scrapping activity has picked up significantly, with 385 vessels totalling 23.3 million dwt were sent to the breakers. In 2012, a further 406 vessels of 25.9 million dwt had already been decommissioned and broken apart, a couple of months before the year ended, meaning that a new record had been set. While until 2010, scrapping was mainly concentrated in the Handysize Sub-Sector, scrapping has been more uniform across Sub-Sectors since 2011. "With market fundamentals remaining weak due to demand-supply imbalance, high rate of scrapping is required to offset the deliveries seen in the past four years as well as the current orderbook" DVB concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 26 February 13
10TH CLEAN COAL FORUM WILL BE HELD ON JUNE 2013
CDMC Events will be presenting the 10th Clean Coal Forum 2013 on June 13 - 14, 2013 in Beijing,China.
It will make you understand regulatory asp ...
Sunday, 24 February 13
COAL SWAPS INCH UP WEEK - ON - WEEK
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q2’ 2013 delivery has gained 0.17 percent and CFR South China coal shipme ...
Sunday, 24 February 13
BDI FELL 1.72 PERCENT BUT FREIGHT MARKET FAIRLY STEADY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This freight market has been fairly steady this week but, BDI fell1.72 pct and closed at 740 points.
The cape index also joins BDI ...
Saturday, 23 February 13
IHS MCCLOSKEY 20TH ANNUAL COAL CONFERENCE OF THE AMERICAS
IHS McCloskey 20th Annual Coal Conference of the Americas to be held on 13-14 March 2013 in Cartagena, Colombia
IHS is pleased to invite you to t ...
Thursday, 21 February 13
HANDY : THE PACIFIC MARKET GOT FIRMED UP AS CHINESE CAME BACK FROM HOLIDAYS - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic saw more cargoes than last week but rates remained unchanged as lot of ships in the market. The USG-Feast was at USD 18k and Bla ...
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- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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