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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 09 November 12
SHIP OWNERS TURN TO SECOND HAND VESSELS, WHICH COME AT ATTRACTIVE PRICES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The attractiveness of modern second hand vessels, which are often priced aggressively can't be ignored by cash-rich ship owners, who are taking adv ...
Thursday, 08 November 12
LARGE ECO SUPRA : INDO - INDIA NOW FIXED AT USD 11K FOR DELIVERY SINGAPORE - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic market continues to remain weak with rates further softening on FH. Rates from USG to Feast were around USD 14k and Black Sea to ...
Thursday, 08 November 12
DRY BULK MARKET RETREATS AGAIN ON HIGHER SHIP SUPPLY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In further evidence of a latest round of dry bulk shipping misery, the industry's benchmark fell for the 11th straight session yesterday, as the in ...
Thursday, 08 November 12
JOIN CHINA STEAM COAL SUPPLY - DEMAND FORUM
Join China Steam Coal Supply-Demand Forum & Visit Shenhua Yudean Zhuhai Port Coal Terminal
Press Release - Organized by CBI BIZ and suppo ...
Wednesday, 07 November 12
NEWBUILDING ORDERING ACTIVITY ON A STEADY PACE PRIOR TO THE END OF THE YEAR - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Newbuilding orders, which to many involved in the shipping industry, are the main reason of today's low freight rates and subsequent financial prob ...
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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