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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 12 November 12
THE ESTABLISHMENT OF NORTH KALIMANTAN AS A NEW PROVINCE WILL NOT AFFECT THE LOCAL MINING COMPANIES
The government of Indonesia has ensured that the establishment of North Kalimantan as a new province will not affect the local mining companies ...
Monday, 12 November 12
DRILLING COMPLETED AT THE MOORLANDS DEPOSIT, WEST BOWEN PROJECT
Press Release - Cuesta Coal Limited (ASX: CQC) (“Cuesta”) is pleased to announce it has completed its exploration activities at the Moor ...
Monday, 12 November 12
BARGE-LOAD OF 5K TONNES OF COAL FROM THE ADK JOINT VENTURE SHIPPED LAST WEEK
COALspot.com - Orpheus Energy (ASX:OEG) has announced that, it has successfully shipped a 5,000 tonne of ADK thermal coal to an Indonesian trading g ...
Sunday, 11 November 12
AN OPTIMISTIC WEEK FOR INDONESIAN SUB-BIT COAL
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for January 2013 delivery gains 2.08 percent WoW and 1.28 percent DoD on Friday, 9 November ...
Sunday, 11 November 12
THE IRON ORE AND COAL PRICES MOVEMENTS REMAINS LOW - VISTAAR
COALspot.com The market remained soft with all the sectors soft.
The BDI and was down by 4.67 pct closing at 940 points, on Friday 9 Novemb ...
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- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The University of Queensland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
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