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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 16 November 12
SHIP OWNERS KEEP ON INVESTING IN SECOND HAND VESSELS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Priced attractively, modern and with prompt delivery dates, second hand vessels are proving to be rather popular among cash-rich ship owners these d ...
Friday, 16 November 12
HANDY : IRON ORE WAS QUIET AND RATES FROM INDIA TO CHINA AROUND USD 5500
Handy
The Atlantic was weak with more supply of ships. Rates from Continent/ Feast at USD 9000 and from USG/China at USD 15k. The Pacific market re ...
Wednesday, 14 November 12
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE PORT HAS LOADED 11.14 PERCENT MORE COAL W-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,100,686 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended – 0700 hours 12 November 2012, Ne ...
Tuesday, 13 November 12
INITIAL COAL PRODUCTION AT KATINGAN RIA ON TRACK FOR 2013 FOLLOWING GRANTING OF 'IN PRINCIPLE' FORESTRY PERMIT, INDONESIA
Realm Resources Ltd (“Realm” or the “Company” - ASX: RRP) has announced that its application to upgrade its exploration fore ...
Tuesday, 13 November 12
BULK PORTS & TECHNOLOGY ASIA 2013
Press Release - TOC Events are pleased to announce a new addition to our global portfolio with the launch of the inaugural Bulk Ports & Technolo ...
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- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
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