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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 25 May 10
BUMPER YEAR PREDICTED FOR INDONESIAN COAL - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta globe reported that, In The country’s coal output may reach 320 million tons this year, up from 300 million tons in 2009, as produ ...
Tuesday, 25 May 10
CHINA'S COAL SHIPMENTS VIA ITS MAIN PORTS RISE BY 13.1 PERCENT IN APRIL
According to the data issued by China's Ministry of Industry and Information on May 21, in April total coal shipments via China's main ports reach ...
Monday, 24 May 10
SAMTAN TO SELL KIDECO TO INDIKA ENERGY?
Insider Stories reported that, Parent company of Indonesia's coal mining contractor PT Petrosea Tbk (PTRO), PT Indika Energy Tbk (INDY) aims to boo ...
Monday, 24 May 10
INDIA'S ESSAR SHIPPING BEGIN COMMERCIAL OPERATIONS OF BULK TERMINAL AT HAZIRA
COALspot.com: Essar Shipping Ports & Logistics Ltd. commences commercial operations of Essar Bulk Terminal at Hazira, one of India's largest dr ...
Monday, 24 May 10
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE (HBA) FOR MAY 2010 REACHES US$ 92.07 PER TON FOB VESSEL
COALspot.com: The directorate general of mineral, coal and geothermal of Indonesia has released Indonesian coal price reference (HBA) for Month of M ...
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
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