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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 26 May 10
ADANI GROUP EYES AFRICA FOR COAL MINING PROJECTS
India Info Line reported that, After acquiring coal mines for importing Indonesian coal to run its thermal power plants in the country, the Adani Gr ...
Wednesday, 26 May 10
DRY BULK MARKET SHOOTS UP, CLOSES IN ON POST-CRISIS ERA HIGHS
In an opposite trend than that of the previous week, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), a benchmark for tracking costs to haul commodities at sea, shot up ...
Wednesday, 26 May 10
BUMI TO CUT UP TO USD 1 BILLION DEBT IN 12 MONTHS
Press Release : PT Bumi Resources Tbk. announced yesterday that it has revived its intent to issue non preemptive shares and added this to the agend ...
Tuesday, 25 May 10
COAL PRODUCTION MAY REACH 320 MILLION TONS THIS YEAR - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, Indonesian coal miners expect to produce as much as 320 million tons of coal this year, an increase of nearly 7 perc ...
Tuesday, 25 May 10
KALIMANTAN COAL RAIL PROJECT RUNS INTO COST DELAY - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakart globe reported that, A$1.5 billion coal rail and port project planned for Central Kalimantan may be delayed by a year after a review of t ...
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- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The University of Queensland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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