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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
.jpg) COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 28 May 10
INDIAS NEYVELI LIGNITE EYEING INDONESIA, SOUTH AFRICA COAL MINES
Integrated mining and power producer Neyveli Lignite Corporation Thursday said it is exploring possibilities for buying coal mines in Indonesia and ...
Friday, 28 May 10
ADARO ACQUIRES 25% ICP AT US$ 335 MIO
Indonesia's second largest thermal coal miner PT Adaro Energy Tbk (ADRO) today announces formation of new joint venture for Indonesian Coal Project ...
Thursday, 27 May 10
KPCL IS LOOKING FOR 0.50 MLN TON TO IMPORTED STEAMING COAL FOR RAICHUR THERMAL POWER STATION
COALspot.com: KARNATAKA POWER CORPORATION LIMITED, India invited from reputed parties meeting the pre qualifications stipulated for the import ...
Thursday, 27 May 10
TNPL TO BUY 0.240 MLN TON NON-COKING COAL FOR SECOND HALF OF 2010
COALspot.com: Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers Limited (TNPL), would like to procure 0.24 mln MT of imported Non-Coking Coal in 6 Shipments of about ...
Thursday, 27 May 10
DRY BULK RATES REACH 2010 HIGHS, BUT FUTURE REMAINS UNCERTAIN
This week is proving to be a milestone for the dry bulk market, as the Baltic Dry Index has propelled itself at never before seen levels for 2010. Y ...
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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