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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Tuesday, 13 February 24
WHAT IS THE OUTLOOK FOR THE NATURAL GAS SPOT PRICE IN 2024 AND 2025? EIA
We expect the U.S. benchmark Henry Hub natural gas spot price to average higher in 2024 and 2025 than in 2023, but to remain lower than $3.00 per m ...
Monday, 12 February 24
US THERMAL COAL EXPORTS HIT 5-YEAR HIGHS AND TOP $5 BLN IN 2023 - REUTERS
United States exporters of thermal coal earned more than $5 billion in 2023 as they shipped out more than 32.5 million metric tons of the high-poll ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
NEW E-FUELS PROJECT TO MAKE INTERNATIONAL SHIPPING CLIMATE-NEUTRAL - RINA
Transport and trade on the ocean blue must be made much greener. This is the goal of the new €17 million European GAMMA project, where compani ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA SEES ANNUAL COAL OUTPUT UP 10.9% IN 2024/25 - REUTERS
India expects domestic coal output to increase by 10.9% to 1.13 billion metric tons in the fiscal year ending March 2025, a senior government offic ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION INCREASES BY 10.3% TO 99.73 MILLION TONNE IN JANUARY - PTI
The country’s coal output rose 10.3 per cent to 99.73 Million Tonne (MT) in January, over the same month in the previous fiscal.
...
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The University of Queensland
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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