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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Wednesday, 31 January 24
CHINA'S INNER MONGOLIA COAL OUTPUT HIT 1.21B TONS IN 2023 - XINHUA
North China’s Inner Mongolia autonomous region churned out 1.21 billion tons of coal in 2023 as it strives to guarantee the country’s e ...
Wednesday, 31 January 24
GAS EXPORTS COST U.S. CONSUMERS MORE THAN $100 BILLION OVER 16-MONTH PERIOD - IEEFA
Limited Demand Growth Could Dampen the Dry Bulk Market in the Coming Months BIMCOStarting in late 2021—before its invasion of Ukraine—R ...
Tuesday, 30 January 24
LIMITED DEMAND GROWTH COULD DAMPEN THE DRY BULK MARKET IN THE COMING MONTHS - BIMCO
Demand
In our base scenario, we expect cargo demand to grow by 0-1% in 2024 and 0.5-1.5% in 2025. This is a 0.5 percentage point reduction for ...
Friday, 26 January 24
RED SEA DIVERSIONS ADD NEARLY A MILLION DOLLARS PER VOYAGE TO SHIPPING COSTS WHILE DOUBLING TRANSIT TIME - LSEG
The incremental costs of diverting a tanker from Asia to NW Europe via the Cape of Good Hope is accounting for an extra $932,905 USD per voyage whi ...
Friday, 26 January 24
HARD COAL GUARDIAN ANGEL OF THE ENERGY SUPPLY - GERMANY COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
- No security of supply without hard coal
- The Substitute Power Plant Provision Act (EKBG) must be extended
- Higher grid fees due to the ...
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
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