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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Friday, 27 November 09
EXXARO SEES HIGH COAL DEMAND RAISING PRICES
Reuters reported that, South African diversified miner Exxaro Resources said on Thursday it expected coal prices to rise to between $70 and $75 per ...
Friday, 27 November 09
CENTENNIAL SAYS ENERGY-COAL PRICE TO RISE AS CHINA SEEKS FUEL
Bloomberg reported that, Centennial Coal Co., an Australian producer of the fuel, said contract prices are expected to rise in 2010, with Chinese co ...
Friday, 27 November 09
IN FIRST-10-MONTH OF 2009 COAL IMPORTS IN GUANGXI-FANGCHENG EXCEEDED FULL-2008 IMPORTS
According to Customs statistics, during the January-October, Fangcheng port accumulatively imported 3.676mln tons valuing U.S.$370, rising by 53.8% ...
Thursday, 26 November 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS TO RISE BY 170 PERCENT IN 2009
According to the statistics released by China's General Administration of Customs on November 23, China's coal imports for October totaled 11.1 mi ...
Thursday, 26 November 09
CIL EYES OVERSEAS ACQUISITIONS TO BRIDGE SUPPLY GAP
Coal Minister Sriprakash Jaiswal on Wednesday said that state-run coal major Coal India is looking to acquire coal blocks in the US and
othe ...
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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