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Friday, 10 November 23
COAL USE AT U.S. POWER PLANTS CONTINUES DOWNWARD SPIRAL; FULL IMPACT ON MINES TO BE FELT IN 2024 - IEEFA
 This year, the use of coal by the U.S.’s power producers has been so anemic that the fuel has not achieved a 20% market share in any month so far, and the current outlook predicts low levels for the rest of the year. To put that into perspective, coal’s power market share had never been less than 20% in any month before 2020, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
In July 2023, for example, coal hit its high point for the year so far, providing 19.1% of the country’s power; in August its market share was 19.0%. That performance stands in stark contrast to 2021, when coal’s market share in both July and August was more than 25%—roughly 6 percentage points higher. The low point this spring occurred in April and May, between the winter heating and summer cooling seasons, when coal’s market share slumped to just 13.8%—the first time it has ever fallen below 15%.
Despite hotter summer temperatures and increased power demand to run air conditioning in some parts of the country this summer, the use of coal has fallen. This is a result of lower prices for gas—coal’s primary fossil-fuel competitor—and a surge in utility-scale solar generation, which was up 20% in July from July 2022, and up 23% in August from a year ago.
The EIA’s current outlook suggests even more deterioration for coal power in the coming months. The energy agency not only sees coal’s November market share returning to the record-low market share in the spring, but also dropping even more in 2024, to as low as 10 to 13% in both the spring and fall.
The decision by plant owners to scale back their use of coal can be seen in at least two measures. First, power generation at coal plants has fallen every single month in 2023 compared to the same months in 2022, both at those owned by utilities and those owned by independent power producers (IPPs)—and by a lot. Through August, utility coal generation has dropped an average of 19.7%. At IPP coal plants, which are more sensitive to competitive pressures, generation has fallen even more—declining an average of 29.7%, a sign that the economics of selling coal-fired power have deteriorated significantly this year.
At the same time, coal stockpiles have surged, to almost 130 million tons in June, and remain high. That’s enough to run coal plants for 113 days, or almost four months, based on the average amount of coal used over the previous year. This measure, called “days of burn,” is more useful than simply looking at the size of the coal piles, since there are fewer coal plants than in the past, and the ones that are still operating are running less. In fact, the amount of coal used each day in the U.S. has fallen from about 2.8 million tons a day in 2008 to roughly 1.1 million tons a day this year—a 62% drop.
It can take a long time to bring such large stockpiles down to levels power producers are more comfortable with—historically around 50 to 60 days’ supply. It took 16 months to lower stockpiles from the May 2020 peak of 120 days of burn, and it took 34 months—almost three years— to lower stockpiles after a May 2016 peak of 105 days of burn. The speed of the drawdown will also be influenced by other factors like warm winter weather, the health of the U.S. economy, and gas prices.
To cut stockpiles, coal-plant owners are likely to turn to a straightforward solution: Buy less coal.
That, of course, would directly affect coal mining in the U.S., and the EIA is already warning that a significant production downturn is coming for the remainder of 2023 and throughout 2024. Overall, coal output could fall to 466 million tons in 2024, a 25 percent decline of 115 million tons from 2023 levels, the EIA says. If that figure holds, it would be the smallest annual U.S. coal production since 1962—but most of the years between 1936 and 1957 also had higher output.
Western producers, which include the nation’s largest mines in the Powder River Basin, could be hardest hit. The EIA is anticipating output in the region to slump 30% next year, or 73 million tons, to just 246 million tons. That would be the region’s lowest production in at least 40 years. Appalachian production doesn’t fare much better. There, the EIA expects production to fall almost 22%, or 29 million tons, to just 132 million tons. For comparison, when coal output in Appalachia peaked in 1990, almost four times as much of the fuel was mined.
After a sharp drop in coal demand in 2020 due to the pandemic, output from U.S. coal producers moderately rebounded and stabilized in 2021. Then, in 2022, coal prices soared after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which broadly improved the financial health of U.S. coal companies—but provided only a modest improvement in the volume of coal produced, which declined again this year.
That temporary reprieve has ended. Coal companies are now staring at a substantial new downturn driven by an accelerating decline in domestic demand.
Source: IEEFA
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Wednesday, 12 June 24
CHINA ACCOUNTS FOR 16.3% OF AUSTRALIA'S COAL EXPORTS, FOLLOWED BY INDIA 14.4% - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace in recent months, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels says Banchero Costa in its latest report.
...
Wednesday, 12 June 24
LNG NEWBUILDING VALUES AT RECORD HIGH: 78 NEWBUILD ORDERS PLACED IN 2024, DOUBLING 2023 - VESON NAUTICAL
The number of LNG newbuilding orders have more than doubled from the same period last year where 34 orders were placed, compared to 78 in the first ...
Monday, 10 June 24
CHINA'S MAY COAL IMPORTS RISE 11% ON LOWER DOMESTIC OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s imports of coal rose 11% in May from a year earlier, customs data and Reuters records showed on Friday, as lower domestic output this ...
Tuesday, 04 June 24
HOW DO WESTERN SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA IMPACT THE GLOBAL METALS, MINING AND COAL MARKETS - WOOD MACKENZIE
The geopolitical landscape for Russia, as a major supplier of various commodities, has undergone a dramatic transformation since the invasion of Uk ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CASE STUDY: DANGERS OF COAL CARGO - SKULD
Recently, a bulk cargo vessel carrying coal from South Africa to Singapore suffered a fatal accident, resulting in the deaths of three crew members ...
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Showing 21 to 25 news of total 6871 |
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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