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Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia’s latest invasion, the outcome of the war appears to be unclear. The Russian military seems incapable of taking either Kyiv or occupying major territories of the country. Ukrainian forces have gained success and could well continue to make progress in regaining field. The war also could settle into a more protract conflict, with neither side capable of making a decisive breakthrough in the near future.
In the past June, European Union decided to ban both seaborne imports of Russian oil and the provision of specific services derived from Russian oil shipments, in particular insurance and reinsurance industries which EU companies do dominate. The US authorities, which had already banned direct imports of Russian oil, shudder at the ban which would cause oil prices to spike by plunging most Russian exports.
Accordingly, States of great sovereignty, strived towards the tool of capping the price of Russian oil, aimed at pinching Russia’s reserves whilst avoiding a spike in oil prices. However, the mechanism’s high price ceiling and its inability to compel Russia’s affairs with Asia-top tier- customers, undermine its ability to deprive Moscow of substantial revenue and aggravate both political and economic issues against Ukraine.
When the West announced on December 2nd, that they had agreed on a $60 price cap on Russian oil exports, they proclaim it as a valiant achievement in energy stability. But one who thinks this would be a significant tap into Russian oil revenues—and the administration’s ability to fuel its war by bringing to heel Ukraine—was likely to be disappointed. The price cap agreed on by the European Union and quickly endorsed by the United States, G7, and Australia was not bold enough to significantly have an effect on Russian revenues or hamper the conduct of the war. After all, Russian oil has sold at prices in the $60 range for the last several years. Moreover, since Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, global trades have already limited their offtake of Russian crude to some extent. When countries such as India and China snapped up the surplus, they negotiated steep discounts while the discount for Urals crude, the main Russian benchmark—nearly $40 per barrel compared with Brent oil in the early months of the war—slowly dropped into the low $20 per barrel range, allowing Moscow to continue thriving.
If the price cap starts to influence Russia, it could create political space for further actions by throbbing Russian energy revenues. This cap should not be considered as an off energy policy tool- if Russia continues to wage its war, hence same should be seen instead as an interim measure until the next set of energy restrictions are to be imposed, including a lower price cap level.
By Alexandros Christakoudis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 05 January 24
BANGLADESH’S 2023 COAL-FIRED POWER OUTPUT TRIPLED, EASING SHORTAGES - REUTERS
Bangladesh nearly tripled its coal-fired power output in 2023, a Reuters analysis of government data showed, helping it tide over the worst power s ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
COAL TRADE CONTINUES TO HEAD EAST - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The global coal trade, once concentrated in the Pacific and Atlantic basins, is undergoing a significant transformation, as highlighted in the Inte ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
COAL CARGOES: AVOIDING EXPLOSION AND SELF-HEATING - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Despite its contribution to greenhouse gas emissions, global coal consumption climbed to an all-time high in 2022 and is ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
SINOPEC FORECASTS CHINA’S COAL CONSUMPTION TO PEAK AROUND 2025 - REUTERS
China Petrochemical Corp, or Sinopec, expects coal consumption to peak around 2025 at 4.37 billion metric tons, the state energy group said in an o ...
Thursday, 07 December 23
CHINA TO SET UP COAL PRODUCTION RESERVE TO STABILISE PRICES - REUTERS
China will establish a back-up coal production system by 2027 to stabilise prices and secure coal supply, the state planner said on Wednesday, even ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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