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Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia’s latest invasion, the outcome of the war appears to be unclear. The Russian military seems incapable of taking either Kyiv or occupying major territories of the country. Ukrainian forces have gained success and could well continue to make progress in regaining field. The war also could settle into a more protract conflict, with neither side capable of making a decisive breakthrough in the near future.
In the past June, European Union decided to ban both seaborne imports of Russian oil and the provision of specific services derived from Russian oil shipments, in particular insurance and reinsurance industries which EU companies do dominate. The US authorities, which had already banned direct imports of Russian oil, shudder at the ban which would cause oil prices to spike by plunging most Russian exports.
Accordingly, States of great sovereignty, strived towards the tool of capping the price of Russian oil, aimed at pinching Russia’s reserves whilst avoiding a spike in oil prices. However, the mechanism’s high price ceiling and its inability to compel Russia’s affairs with Asia-top tier- customers, undermine its ability to deprive Moscow of substantial revenue and aggravate both political and economic issues against Ukraine.
When the West announced on December 2nd, that they had agreed on a $60 price cap on Russian oil exports, they proclaim it as a valiant achievement in energy stability. But one who thinks this would be a significant tap into Russian oil revenues—and the administration’s ability to fuel its war by bringing to heel Ukraine—was likely to be disappointed. The price cap agreed on by the European Union and quickly endorsed by the United States, G7, and Australia was not bold enough to significantly have an effect on Russian revenues or hamper the conduct of the war. After all, Russian oil has sold at prices in the $60 range for the last several years. Moreover, since Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, global trades have already limited their offtake of Russian crude to some extent. When countries such as India and China snapped up the surplus, they negotiated steep discounts while the discount for Urals crude, the main Russian benchmark—nearly $40 per barrel compared with Brent oil in the early months of the war—slowly dropped into the low $20 per barrel range, allowing Moscow to continue thriving.
If the price cap starts to influence Russia, it could create political space for further actions by throbbing Russian energy revenues. This cap should not be considered as an off energy policy tool- if Russia continues to wage its war, hence same should be seen instead as an interim measure until the next set of energy restrictions are to be imposed, including a lower price cap level.
By Alexandros Christakoudis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 25 January 24
THE RED SEA ESCALATION IMPLICATIONS ON GLOBAL SEABORNE TRADE - MARIA BERTZELETOU
In recent days, discussions have intensified about the potential impact on the seaborne trade and ton-miles due to the evolving dynamics of market ...
Thursday, 25 January 24
RED SEA SHIPPING DISRUPTIONS KEEP GEOPOLITICAL PREMIUM FOR COMMODITIES - FITCH RATINGS
Shipping disruptions and re-routing away from the Red Sea will maintain the geopolitical premium in the main commodity markets, including for oil a ...
Friday, 19 January 24
INDONESIA TARGETS 710 MLN METRIC TONS COAL OUTPUT IN 2024 AFTER RECORD 2023 - REUTERS
Indonesia, a major thermal coal exporter, aims to produce 710 million metric tons of coal in 2024, its mining minister said on Monday, after postin ...
Friday, 19 January 24
DRUMMOND COLOMBIA COAL OUTPUT ROSE 7.1% IN 2023 - REUTERS
Coal production from miner Drummond’s Colombia operations rose 7.1% in 2023 to 29.5 million metric tons, while exports declined by 2.6% to 27 ...
Friday, 19 January 24
CHINA'S 2023 COAL OUTPUT HITS RECORD HIGH - REUTERS
China’s coal output reached a record high in 2023, data from the statistics bureau showed on Wednesday, amid an ongoing focus on energy secur ...
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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