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Wednesday, 31 August 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Scorching temperatures and extremely dry conditions during the Northern hemisphere summer have been drying crops. Yield prospects have subsided in many key growing areas, raising concerns regarding global food security, amid rallying food inflation.
In the US, recently released estimates from Pro Farmer, regarding corn and soybean crops, are 4% lower than the official government forecasts, which is dismaying. Bolstering heat and drought have severely impacted part of the Farm Belt over the previous months. Production output is crucial, as it will determine grain prices for the upcoming months. According to USDA’s latest report, in total, 89.8 million acres were planted to corn in 2022, while 87.2 million acres were planted to soybean. Overall, corn production is decreased by 5% y-o-y, while soybean harvest is forecasted to increase by 2% y-o-y.
In China, the worst drought since the early 1960s in central and southwestern areas paired with floods in the northeast threaten hundreds of million tons of grain harvest that is reaped during the fall. Rice harvests in areas along the Yangtze River and the Sichuan basin, the two regions where half of the country’s rice is produced, have been severely impacted. Total corn output is also estimated to be reduced by 4.5mn tons due to floods, according to Chinese commodities broker Yongan Futures Co. A loss of harvest will lead to increased demand for imports and will push prices upwards, posing threat to global food security. The country is now turning to the US for imports amid surging Brazil soybean prices, with a total of 859,836 tons being imported to the country since April 22, according to USDA.
India’s rice harvest is expected to significantly drop as of shrunk planted region due to extremely high temperatures. According to the country’s Food Corporation, rice harvest is expected to drop by 10% in the upcoming harvest season, typically occurring between November-December, decreasing the country’s rice output to 117mn metric tons. According to USDA Foreign Agriculture Service, 110 million tons out of the total 117 million tons, will be domestically consumed, thus leaving a total of 7 million tons for exports. August wheat stocks also slumped to a 14-year record low, while wheat inflation hit 12%. The country is discussing a potential curb on broken rice exports, which if decided will have ripple effects on the global food supply chain, while on Aug.27 it announced a ban on wheat flour exports with occasional exceptions.
Ukraine’s grain is leaving its ports smoothly with exports steadily ramping up. Ukraine’s grain exports are currently 50% lower y-o-y. Ukrainian wheat sales, albeit improved, are not adequate to support wheat prices, which stand currently below growing costs. On Aug.30, the country's Ministry of Infrastructures announced that approx. 1.5mn tons of grains have been exported so far from the country’s ports. However, next season’s harvest, which has already started to be sown, is undermined by destroyed farmlands and weak domestic prices.
Meanwhile, in the rest EU area, farmers have been grappling with drought, while estimating their summer crop yields to drop significantly. EU’s corn crop is estimated to hit a 15-year low, estimated at 59.3mn tons in 2022/2023 harvest, according to the European Commission’ latest forecast. According to FranceAgriMer, only 53% of the country’s corn crop is in good or very good condition, while according to Agritel’s latest estimate, the country’s 2022/2023 wheat production will reach 33.63mn tons, slumping below the 5-year average. Meanwhile, in Romania farmers have been forced to harvest their corn crops one month earlier on the back of extremely dry conditions. The country expects a 15% lower wheat output y-o-y, approx. 9mn tons, according to the Minister of Agriculture.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 12 September 22
COAL PRICE HIKE REMAINS DIFFICULT FOR CIL: CHAIRMAN TELLS ANALYSTS - PTI
Coal India on Thursday informed investors that increasing coal prices remains difficult in the current context when the economy is grappling with h ...
Friday, 09 September 22
GREECE WILL KEEP COAL-FIRED PLANTS RUNNING FOR LONGER AMID GAS CRISIS - REUTERS
Greece will keep seven coal-fired plants running for longer than previously planned as European countries adjust to a cut in gas flows coming from ...
Friday, 09 September 22
CHINA'S DROUGHT INTENSIFIES GLOBAL COAL SHORTAGE - REUTERS
China’s drought has sent coal prices surging as traders anticipate the lack of hydroelectric generation will force it to burn more coal to me ...
Thursday, 08 September 22
MOODY.S AFFIRMS ABM INVESTAMA'S B1 RATINGS FOLLOWING PLANNED MINORITY INVESTMENT IN COAL MINER; OUTLOOK STABLE
Moody's Investors Service has affirmed ABM Investama Tbk (P.T.)'s B1 corporate family rating (CFR), along with the B1 rating on its senior ...
Thursday, 08 September 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While the energy markets are historically stretched, Russian flows of crude oil are closely monitored as the oil trade is ultimately realigned. Mor ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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