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Saturday, 23 July 22
STABILITY OF RUSSIAN GAS FLOWS REMAIN UNCERTAIN, DESPITE THE REOPENING OF NORD STREAM - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per day (mcm/d) – 40% of the pipeline’s overall capacity. The European gas market has reacted, with prices down by 5%; but the stability of Russian gas flows is by no means a given, according to analysts at Wood Mackenzie.
Penny Leake, Research Analyst for Europe Gas and LNG at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Further disruptions are expected as Russia seeks to increase political and economic pressure on Europe as winter approaches.”
“It remains unclear what Russia will do. There is a risk that Nord Stream flows will reduce below the 40% capacity seen before the maintenance,” Leake added.
This way, Russia will continue receiving revenues from gas exports, disincentivising the much-needed early gas rationing recommended across Europe, thus exposing countries across the continent to more pressure this winter.
Wood Mackenzie has defined two scenarios for what may come for Russian gas flows and their impact on Europe in the coming months.
Scenario 1: Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity
If Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity and imports through other routes remain at the levels seen since 17 June (before Nord Stream maintenance), Europe will be able to refill storage to more than 80% by 1 November 2022.
Leake said: “Gas demand is expected to be 12% lower than previous winters, due to high prices and demand mitigation measures, including the re-introduction of old coal plants, and Wood Mackenzie anticipates Europe will be able to get through the heating season with a comfortable level of storage under normal weather conditions.”
A cold winter in both Europe and Asia could however result in up to 20 billion cubic metres (bcm) of additional demand (7% of total) and reduce availability of LNG for Europe. This could bring storage levels down to approximately 10 bcm by the end of March 2023 – the minimum level Wood Mackenzie analysis indicates is required to ensure appropriate functioning of storage facilities.
“As a result, some limited demand curtailment may be required to manage peak demand episodes, unless additional supply is secured,” Leake added.
Scenario 2: Nord Stream flows reduce to zero, but Russian flows through other routes continue
If Nord Stream flows reduce to zero by August this year, Europe will only be able to refill its storage to 70-75% by the start of winter, and could finish the heating season with only approx. 10 bcm of gas in storage, risking some demand curtailments.
However, if winter is unusually cold in Europe and Asia, there is a risk gas in storage could run out by the end of February 2023, according to Wood Mackenzie’s analysis. With Europe risking as much as 20 bcm of demand curtailments – the equivalent of 7% of total gas demand or 30-35% of all industrial demand in winter.
Leake said: “Under these conditions, the only material upside that could limit demand curtailments would be bringing back production at Groningen – which brings with it political challenges.”
In all scenarios, the impact will differ by countries. The ones most dependent on Russian gas, such as Germany, Austria, and Central and Eastern Europe, will be most exposed.
“One thing is clear – volatility and uncertainty will persist, meaning that demand and solidarity measures across Europe are required now so we can avoid leaving European gas balance to chance,” Leake concluded.
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Wednesday, 12 June 24
CHINA ACCOUNTS FOR 16.3% OF AUSTRALIA'S COAL EXPORTS, FOLLOWED BY INDIA 14.4% - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace in recent months, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels says Banchero Costa in its latest report.
...
Wednesday, 12 June 24
LNG NEWBUILDING VALUES AT RECORD HIGH: 78 NEWBUILD ORDERS PLACED IN 2024, DOUBLING 2023 - VESON NAUTICAL
The number of LNG newbuilding orders have more than doubled from the same period last year where 34 orders were placed, compared to 78 in the first ...
Monday, 10 June 24
CHINA'S MAY COAL IMPORTS RISE 11% ON LOWER DOMESTIC OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s imports of coal rose 11% in May from a year earlier, customs data and Reuters records showed on Friday, as lower domestic output this ...
Tuesday, 04 June 24
HOW DO WESTERN SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA IMPACT THE GLOBAL METALS, MINING AND COAL MARKETS - WOOD MACKENZIE
The geopolitical landscape for Russia, as a major supplier of various commodities, has undergone a dramatic transformation since the invasion of Uk ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CASE STUDY: DANGERS OF COAL CARGO - SKULD
Recently, a bulk cargo vessel carrying coal from South Africa to Singapore suffered a fatal accident, resulting in the deaths of three crew members ...
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Showing 21 to 25 news of total 6871 |
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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