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Saturday, 23 July 22
STABILITY OF RUSSIAN GAS FLOWS REMAIN UNCERTAIN, DESPITE THE REOPENING OF NORD STREAM - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per day (mcm/d) – 40% of the pipeline’s overall capacity. The European gas market has reacted, with prices down by 5%; but the stability of Russian gas flows is by no means a given, according to analysts at Wood Mackenzie.
Penny Leake, Research Analyst for Europe Gas and LNG at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Further disruptions are expected as Russia seeks to increase political and economic pressure on Europe as winter approaches.”
“It remains unclear what Russia will do. There is a risk that Nord Stream flows will reduce below the 40% capacity seen before the maintenance,” Leake added.
This way, Russia will continue receiving revenues from gas exports, disincentivising the much-needed early gas rationing recommended across Europe, thus exposing countries across the continent to more pressure this winter.
Wood Mackenzie has defined two scenarios for what may come for Russian gas flows and their impact on Europe in the coming months.
Scenario 1: Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity
If Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity and imports through other routes remain at the levels seen since 17 June (before Nord Stream maintenance), Europe will be able to refill storage to more than 80% by 1 November 2022.
Leake said: “Gas demand is expected to be 12% lower than previous winters, due to high prices and demand mitigation measures, including the re-introduction of old coal plants, and Wood Mackenzie anticipates Europe will be able to get through the heating season with a comfortable level of storage under normal weather conditions.”
A cold winter in both Europe and Asia could however result in up to 20 billion cubic metres (bcm) of additional demand (7% of total) and reduce availability of LNG for Europe. This could bring storage levels down to approximately 10 bcm by the end of March 2023 – the minimum level Wood Mackenzie analysis indicates is required to ensure appropriate functioning of storage facilities.
“As a result, some limited demand curtailment may be required to manage peak demand episodes, unless additional supply is secured,” Leake added.
Scenario 2: Nord Stream flows reduce to zero, but Russian flows through other routes continue
If Nord Stream flows reduce to zero by August this year, Europe will only be able to refill its storage to 70-75% by the start of winter, and could finish the heating season with only approx. 10 bcm of gas in storage, risking some demand curtailments.
However, if winter is unusually cold in Europe and Asia, there is a risk gas in storage could run out by the end of February 2023, according to Wood Mackenzie’s analysis. With Europe risking as much as 20 bcm of demand curtailments – the equivalent of 7% of total gas demand or 30-35% of all industrial demand in winter.
Leake said: “Under these conditions, the only material upside that could limit demand curtailments would be bringing back production at Groningen – which brings with it political challenges.”
In all scenarios, the impact will differ by countries. The ones most dependent on Russian gas, such as Germany, Austria, and Central and Eastern Europe, will be most exposed.
“One thing is clear – volatility and uncertainty will persist, meaning that demand and solidarity measures across Europe are required now so we can avoid leaving European gas balance to chance,” Leake concluded.
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Saturday, 30 March 19
KOEN INVITES BIDS FOR 450,000 TONS OF (SUB) BITUMINOUS COAL FOR H1 AND JUNE 2019
South Korea state-owned utility KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) issued a tender for total 450,000 MT of min. 4300, 3500 and 5600 NCV ...
Wednesday, 27 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Contrary to the December 2018 forecasts but in line with the expectations of the dry bulk market, the first quarter of the year closed negatively. ...
Saturday, 23 March 19
IT WAS A POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE HANDY SIZE MARKET - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The big ships endured heavy losses last week extinguishing any hopes from the recent minor rally. Negative sentiment gained pace throu ...
Friday, 22 March 19
CHINA MARKET: COAL OUT IN THE COLD - BUSINESS RECORDER
Though China maintains there is no ban, China-bound Australian coal shipments are looking for a new home. For the past few months, coal cargoes are ...
Thursday, 21 March 19
PRICE PLUNGE AS CHINESE LEAVE THERMAL COAL OUT IN THE COLD - AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW
Thermal coal exporter New Hope Corporation says China’s shipment squeeze on Australia is putting downward pressure on prices in all markets i ...
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Showing 1441 to 1445 news of total 6871 |
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
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