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Saturday, 23 July 22
STABILITY OF RUSSIAN GAS FLOWS REMAIN UNCERTAIN, DESPITE THE REOPENING OF NORD STREAM - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per day (mcm/d) – 40% of the pipeline’s overall capacity. The European gas market has reacted, with prices down by 5%; but the stability of Russian gas flows is by no means a given, according to analysts at Wood Mackenzie.
Penny Leake, Research Analyst for Europe Gas and LNG at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Further disruptions are expected as Russia seeks to increase political and economic pressure on Europe as winter approaches.”
“It remains unclear what Russia will do. There is a risk that Nord Stream flows will reduce below the 40% capacity seen before the maintenance,” Leake added.
This way, Russia will continue receiving revenues from gas exports, disincentivising the much-needed early gas rationing recommended across Europe, thus exposing countries across the continent to more pressure this winter.
Wood Mackenzie has defined two scenarios for what may come for Russian gas flows and their impact on Europe in the coming months.
Scenario 1: Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity
If Nord Stream flows remain at 40% of capacity and imports through other routes remain at the levels seen since 17 June (before Nord Stream maintenance), Europe will be able to refill storage to more than 80% by 1 November 2022.
Leake said: “Gas demand is expected to be 12% lower than previous winters, due to high prices and demand mitigation measures, including the re-introduction of old coal plants, and Wood Mackenzie anticipates Europe will be able to get through the heating season with a comfortable level of storage under normal weather conditions.”
A cold winter in both Europe and Asia could however result in up to 20 billion cubic metres (bcm) of additional demand (7% of total) and reduce availability of LNG for Europe. This could bring storage levels down to approximately 10 bcm by the end of March 2023 – the minimum level Wood Mackenzie analysis indicates is required to ensure appropriate functioning of storage facilities.
“As a result, some limited demand curtailment may be required to manage peak demand episodes, unless additional supply is secured,” Leake added.
Scenario 2: Nord Stream flows reduce to zero, but Russian flows through other routes continue
If Nord Stream flows reduce to zero by August this year, Europe will only be able to refill its storage to 70-75% by the start of winter, and could finish the heating season with only approx. 10 bcm of gas in storage, risking some demand curtailments.
However, if winter is unusually cold in Europe and Asia, there is a risk gas in storage could run out by the end of February 2023, according to Wood Mackenzie’s analysis. With Europe risking as much as 20 bcm of demand curtailments – the equivalent of 7% of total gas demand or 30-35% of all industrial demand in winter.
Leake said: “Under these conditions, the only material upside that could limit demand curtailments would be bringing back production at Groningen – which brings with it political challenges.”
In all scenarios, the impact will differ by countries. The ones most dependent on Russian gas, such as Germany, Austria, and Central and Eastern Europe, will be most exposed.
“One thing is clear – volatility and uncertainty will persist, meaning that demand and solidarity measures across Europe are required now so we can avoid leaving European gas balance to chance,” Leake concluded.
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Wednesday, 21 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The second wave of COVID-19 is now a reality; offices are closing again, and stricter rules and regulations are being implemented in public spaces. ...
Tuesday, 20 October 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.82 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 127.49 points Monday, up 0.82 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Tuesday, 20 October 20
BIMCO 'SHIPLEASE' TERM SHEET - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The ever-growing importance of sale and leaseback transactions as an alternative to financing ships by way of loan, makes ...
Friday, 16 October 20
KOMIPO ON BEHALF OF K GENCO'S INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 715,000 MT MIN. 5,700 NAR COAL FOR DECEMBER
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) on behalf of EWP, KOSPO, KOSEP and KOWEPO has issued an international tender for total 715,000& ...
Wednesday, 14 October 20
CHINA COKING COAL FUTURES RALLY ON REPORTED BAN ON AUSTRALIA CARGOES - REUTERS
Dalian coking coal futures rallied for a sixth straight session on Tuesday after reports surfaced that China had stopped buying coal from Australia ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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