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Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, many owners abstain from the newbuilding realm, especially in the wet and dry sector, while sticking to ageing fleets. During 1H22, fleet grew by 1.4% (est. 2.8% in 2022), which is way below the 10-year average growth of 3.6%. While new orders are not coming in fast enough to halt the trend of an ageing fleet, the introduction of EEXI, CII and EU ETS at the beginning of 2023, has resulted in a record of 61% of newbuild orders being alternative fuelled.
According to our data, tanker fleet renewal remains muted across 1H22. Overall, 31 vessels have been ordered within 2022 in the wet sector (with the orderbook standing at 5% of fleet capacity), of which 1 is methanol & ammonia ready, 1 is methanol fuelled, 2 are battery powered and 2 are LNG fuelled. With risks to the tanker demand still prevailing on the back of macroeconomic factors and high oil prices, the tanker market has witnessed significantly improved conditions in recent months, underpinned by shifts in trade patterns resulting in tonne-mile increase. Low stocks, paired with high refinery margins are expected to further boost trade growth in seaborne volumes and tonne-miles and contribute to the revival of an ageing fleet.
On the dry front, contracting activity hit low levels, partly on the back of uncertainty over decarbonization trends. Current orderbook stands at 7% of the fleet capacity, marking a 30-year low, which suggests a very limited growth capacity. According to our records, 85 bulkers have been ordered during 1H22, of which 5 are LNG fuelled or dual-fuelled, 3 being ammonia-ready/fuelled and 25 meeting EEDI phase 3 standards. Overall, 14 % of the total orderbook are alternative fuel capable, with Capesize segment leading the decarbonization pathway.
On the container front, however, the market sentiment is bullish with an orderbook at 28% of the fleet capacity. Amid disruptions to the world trade caused by the pandemic and a shortage of new vessels, freights have been rallying and therefore, fuelling owners’ appetite for boxhsips, which has prevailed during 1H22. More specifically, out of the total of 295 vessels ordered, 57 are dual-fuelled and LNG fuelled, 32 are methanol and ammonia-ready, while 31 meet EEDI phase 3 standards.
Newbuilding ordering activity has further been supported by the recent spree in LNG contracts. According to our data, contracting activity in the sector hit record highs with a total of 112 new vessels ordered within 2022, boosting the orderbook to 37% of the fleet capacity. Berths for the Qatar LNG project are monopolizing the owners’ interest, providing further support to the market. Out of the total of 112 vessels, 32 are booked for the Qatari project and 6 of them are dual or LNG-fuelled. Further supported by growth in LNG tonne-mile trade on the back of the sanctions on Russian gas from EU/US, and the recently announced plan for expansion of Qatar’s mega-plant and Cheniere’s Corpus Chritsti plant, market sentiment for LNG contracting activity remains firm.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 16 October 21
COAL IS 'KING' AS GAS PRICES SOAR, TOTAL CEO SAYS - AND IT’S BACKFIRING ON CLEANER ENERGY GOALS - CNBC
Surging natural gas prices have led to a jump in coal use, with plants in Europe and Asia firing back up as temperatures decline and the world grap ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
VIETNAM'S COAL-FIRED POWER MAY DOUBLE BY 2030 UNDER DRAFT ENERGY PLAN - REUTERS
Vietnam may double the amount of coal-fired electric generation it installs by 2030 under a draft power development plan submitted to the prime min ...
Friday, 15 October 21
AUSTRALIA'S WHITEHAVEN EXPECTS TO BE DEBT-FREE NEXT YEAR AS COAL PRICES SOAR - REUTERS
Australia’s Whitehaven Coal WHC.AX said on Thursday it expects to be debt-free by early 2022, as thermal coal prices surge to record highs on ...
Friday, 15 October 21
WINTER CHILL KEEPS CHINA'S COAL PRICES HIGH, POWER CRUNCH STOKES INFLATION - REUTERS
China coal prices held near record highs on Thursday as cold weather swept into the country’s north and power plants stocked up on the fuel t ...
Friday, 15 October 21
GLOBAL STEEL DEMAND GROWTH DOWNGRADED FOR 2021 DUE TO CHINA - WORLD STEEL ASSOCIATION
The World Steel Association (worldsteel) today released an update of its Short Range Outlook (SRO) for 2021 and 2022. worldsteel forecasts that ste ...
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- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Planning Commission, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Coal Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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