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Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, many owners abstain from the newbuilding realm, especially in the wet and dry sector, while sticking to ageing fleets. During 1H22, fleet grew by 1.4% (est. 2.8% in 2022), which is way below the 10-year average growth of 3.6%. While new orders are not coming in fast enough to halt the trend of an ageing fleet, the introduction of EEXI, CII and EU ETS at the beginning of 2023, has resulted in a record of 61% of newbuild orders being alternative fuelled.
According to our data, tanker fleet renewal remains muted across 1H22. Overall, 31 vessels have been ordered within 2022 in the wet sector (with the orderbook standing at 5% of fleet capacity), of which 1 is methanol & ammonia ready, 1 is methanol fuelled, 2 are battery powered and 2 are LNG fuelled. With risks to the tanker demand still prevailing on the back of macroeconomic factors and high oil prices, the tanker market has witnessed significantly improved conditions in recent months, underpinned by shifts in trade patterns resulting in tonne-mile increase. Low stocks, paired with high refinery margins are expected to further boost trade growth in seaborne volumes and tonne-miles and contribute to the revival of an ageing fleet.
On the dry front, contracting activity hit low levels, partly on the back of uncertainty over decarbonization trends. Current orderbook stands at 7% of the fleet capacity, marking a 30-year low, which suggests a very limited growth capacity. According to our records, 85 bulkers have been ordered during 1H22, of which 5 are LNG fuelled or dual-fuelled, 3 being ammonia-ready/fuelled and 25 meeting EEDI phase 3 standards. Overall, 14 % of the total orderbook are alternative fuel capable, with Capesize segment leading the decarbonization pathway.
On the container front, however, the market sentiment is bullish with an orderbook at 28% of the fleet capacity. Amid disruptions to the world trade caused by the pandemic and a shortage of new vessels, freights have been rallying and therefore, fuelling owners’ appetite for boxhsips, which has prevailed during 1H22. More specifically, out of the total of 295 vessels ordered, 57 are dual-fuelled and LNG fuelled, 32 are methanol and ammonia-ready, while 31 meet EEDI phase 3 standards.
Newbuilding ordering activity has further been supported by the recent spree in LNG contracts. According to our data, contracting activity in the sector hit record highs with a total of 112 new vessels ordered within 2022, boosting the orderbook to 37% of the fleet capacity. Berths for the Qatar LNG project are monopolizing the owners’ interest, providing further support to the market. Out of the total of 112 vessels, 32 are booked for the Qatari project and 6 of them are dual or LNG-fuelled. Further supported by growth in LNG tonne-mile trade on the back of the sanctions on Russian gas from EU/US, and the recently announced plan for expansion of Qatar’s mega-plant and Cheniere’s Corpus Chritsti plant, market sentiment for LNG contracting activity remains firm.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 20 October 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
IMO 2020, Ballast Water Treatment regulations, Green Recycling, GHG emissions, EEXI, CII, ETS, Fit for 55, Carbon price/levy, the Poseidon Principl ...
Tuesday, 19 October 21
SPONGE IRON SECTOR MIGHT REPORT NEGATIVE GROWTH DUE TO COAL CRISIS: SIMA - PTI
The domestic sponge iron industry might report a negative growth in the ongoing December quarter “if the shortage of coal is allowed to conti ...
Tuesday, 19 October 21
COAL INDIA, THE FALL GUY FOR POWER CRISIS - INDIA EXPRESS
The post-Covid economic recovery has led to a major increase in the demand for power, both in India and globally. In India, coal-based power plants ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
SOLAR INSTALLATION SURGE PUTS INDIA ON TRACK TO CAP COAL-FIRED POWER AS EARLY AS 2024 - IEEFA
Recent increase in solar power installations could push coal to peak sooner than expected
If India keeps installing solar capacity a ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
DESPITE HIGHER COAL PRICES, U.S. COAL RECOVERY LOOKS WEAK BY MOST MEASURES - IEEFA
U.S. coal sector is locked into a long-term sectoral decline
Coal prices have surged to the highest level in years in the U.S., and have soare ...
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- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
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