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Wednesday, 13 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Taking the previous market insight a step further, market sentiment remains bullish regarding the overall ROI of scrubbers, facing tailwinds from a surprisingly favorable Hi-5 spread. Under a blurred setting regarding the direction and efficiency of alternative fuels and the current geopolitical disruptions, owners tend to adopt a medium-term approach to the evaluation of their investment towards decarbonization, rather than a long-term which might be overturned.
Recent studies have shown that running on HSFO and on a scrubber produces way lower emissions than running on LSMGO, further confirming the viability of a scrubber investment. Currently, owners who will drydock their vessels soon are increasingly considering investing in pollution abatement technology, in return for the benefits from the expected savings in the bunkering costs.
Coming down to the decision-making, the choice of scrubber type is a key factor that shapes the fitting cost but will mostly affect future savings and compliance with changing regulations. While most vessels carry open-loop scrubbers, many vessels fitted now opt for hybrid types, which offer increased flexibility for operation in all areas, regardless of ECA’s constraining rules or seawater alkalinity. Technological investments have a special mechanism of assessment, therefore, payback period, level of risk, tax prospects and expected inflation should be considered. The main criteria regarding the justification of a scrubber investment should be the ROI (including CAPEX & OPEX), the space occupied, and the weight, with horizontal scrubbers weighting less and covering less space compared to vertical ones, thus, minimizing the impact on a vessel’s cargo-carrying capacity and its profitability. Due to the funding difference of the technology implementation, the terms of inflows (fuel savings) and outflows (CAPEX & OPEX) should be identified, while the determining factor will be the maximum payback period.
Currently, owners who have already invested in scrubbers are enjoying a high ROI, while benefiting from more than $500/t Hi-5 spreads. For instance, in Singapore it was assessed at an all-time high of $569.50/t on July 5th, creating, therefore, the perfect scenario for scrubber-equipped ships. In Fujairah, the set-up is pretty much similar with the spread fluctuating close to the $500/t range. While HSFO markets in Asia have been weakening on the back of sanctions on Urals crude in Europe and the US, VLSFO markets are seeing a tight supply as refineries have been utilizing sweeter crude to maximize gasoline production to meet the demand for the peak driving season in the US and due to the expanded regional turnaround and strong gasoline cracks.
At the moment, retrofitting times vary between 30 and 50 days, which is important to consider under the current market conditions. According to our data, retrofits now take place at a slower pace, while during 1H of 2022 only 3.7% of newbuilt vessels are scrubber fitted, compared to 13.9% during 1H of 2021. Since investments in technology are capital intensive, owners tend to keep a more conservative stance and ensure a balance in their fleets, until clarity is given on what will be the most cost-efficient and dominant compliant method.
By Chara Georgousi,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 08 July 22
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRICE BREAKS AGAIN LEVEL US$ 400/TON!, UP AROUND 4% - CNBC INDONESIA
Coal prices shot up again and crossed the level of US$ 400 per ton. On Thursday (7/7/2022) trading, the selling price of August contract closed at ...
Friday, 08 July 22
INDONESIA MULLS MORE FREQUENT SETTING OF CRUDE PALM OIL REFERENCE PRICE - REUTERS
Indonesia is considering setting its crude palm oil (CPO) export reference price every two weeks instead of monthly, a senior trade ministry offici ...
Friday, 08 July 22
BUNKER PRICES EXPECTED TO RECOVER LOST GROUND NEXT WEEK - SERGEY IVANOV, MABUX
Over the Week 27, the world bunker indices showed a sharp decline, primarily due to the fall in oil prices on July 05. The 380 HSFO index fell by 5 ...
Thursday, 07 July 22
NTPC MINES 61% MORE COAL AT 4.22 MN METRIC TONNES IN APRIL-JUNE: PTI
State-owned power giant NTPC on Tuesday said that its coal output grew by 61 per cent to Rs 42.40 lakh metric tonnes in April-June quarter from 26. ...
Thursday, 07 July 22
COAL INDIA'S PRODUCTION SETS RECORD INCREASE OF 29% YOY AT 36 MT IN Q1FY23 - IIFL SECURITIES
Coal India Limited (CIL) has ended April-June quarter FY’23 capping a historic high of 29% yoy output growth, compared to same quarter FY&rsq ...
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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