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Wednesday, 13 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Taking the previous market insight a step further, market sentiment remains bullish regarding the overall ROI of scrubbers, facing tailwinds from a surprisingly favorable Hi-5 spread. Under a blurred setting regarding the direction and efficiency of alternative fuels and the current geopolitical disruptions, owners tend to adopt a medium-term approach to the evaluation of their investment towards decarbonization, rather than a long-term which might be overturned.
Recent studies have shown that running on HSFO and on a scrubber produces way lower emissions than running on LSMGO, further confirming the viability of a scrubber investment. Currently, owners who will drydock their vessels soon are increasingly considering investing in pollution abatement technology, in return for the benefits from the expected savings in the bunkering costs.
Coming down to the decision-making, the choice of scrubber type is a key factor that shapes the fitting cost but will mostly affect future savings and compliance with changing regulations. While most vessels carry open-loop scrubbers, many vessels fitted now opt for hybrid types, which offer increased flexibility for operation in all areas, regardless of ECA’s constraining rules or seawater alkalinity. Technological investments have a special mechanism of assessment, therefore, payback period, level of risk, tax prospects and expected inflation should be considered. The main criteria regarding the justification of a scrubber investment should be the ROI (including CAPEX & OPEX), the space occupied, and the weight, with horizontal scrubbers weighting less and covering less space compared to vertical ones, thus, minimizing the impact on a vessel’s cargo-carrying capacity and its profitability. Due to the funding difference of the technology implementation, the terms of inflows (fuel savings) and outflows (CAPEX & OPEX) should be identified, while the determining factor will be the maximum payback period.
Currently, owners who have already invested in scrubbers are enjoying a high ROI, while benefiting from more than $500/t Hi-5 spreads. For instance, in Singapore it was assessed at an all-time high of $569.50/t on July 5th, creating, therefore, the perfect scenario for scrubber-equipped ships. In Fujairah, the set-up is pretty much similar with the spread fluctuating close to the $500/t range. While HSFO markets in Asia have been weakening on the back of sanctions on Urals crude in Europe and the US, VLSFO markets are seeing a tight supply as refineries have been utilizing sweeter crude to maximize gasoline production to meet the demand for the peak driving season in the US and due to the expanded regional turnaround and strong gasoline cracks.
At the moment, retrofitting times vary between 30 and 50 days, which is important to consider under the current market conditions. According to our data, retrofits now take place at a slower pace, while during 1H of 2022 only 3.7% of newbuilt vessels are scrubber fitted, compared to 13.9% during 1H of 2021. Since investments in technology are capital intensive, owners tend to keep a more conservative stance and ensure a balance in their fleets, until clarity is given on what will be the most cost-efficient and dominant compliant method.
By Chara Georgousi,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 19 July 22
DRY BULK MARKET: CAPESIZE MARKET FIRMS THIS WEEK - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Capesize
Firmer sentiment across both basins pushed the Capesize 5TC route average above the $20,000 threshold this week, closing at $24,209. A ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
WHY SHIPPING MIGHT BE ABOUT TO GET A LITTLE BIT SLOWER - WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
If shipping is the beating heart of global trade, its pulse is about to get slower.
Faced with uncertainty about which fuels to use in the long ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
GERMANY'S INCREASED COAL, OIL USE WILL BE TEMPORARY, SCHOLZ SAYS - CNBC
Chancellor Olaf Scholz says Germany’s decision to reactivate coal and oil-fired power plants to relieve energy shortages because of the war i ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
INDONESIA REMOVES PALM OIL EXPORT LEVY UNTIL AUG. 31 - REUTERS
Indonesia has scrapped its export levy for all palm oil products until Aug. 31 in a fresh attempt to boost exports and ease high inventories, finan ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
CHINA'S JUNE DAILY COAL OUTPUT JUMPS ON PEAK SUMMER DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output in June rose 6.6 per cent from a month earlier as miners cranked up output ahead of peak summer temperatures, when ...
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
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